Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Strasbourg vs Lille

Strasbourg vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-09 16:15
Strasbourg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Lille
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
22%
2
27%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Strasbourg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate53%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Strasbourg
WWDLW
Lille
LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 65%
41% +1.5 41%
29% +2.5 24%
12% +3.5 18%
12% +4.5 6%
53% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Strasbourg averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
22%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Strasbourg(A) 4 - 1 Lille Home
Nov 2025 Strasbourg 2 - 0 Lille Home
Jan 2025 Strasbourg 2 - 1 Lille Home
Sep 2024 Strasbourg(A) 3 - 3 Lille Draw
Apr 2024 Strasbourg(A) 0 - 1 Lille Away

In the last 5 meetings, Strasbourg won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Strasbourg — unbeaten run (home)1
Strasbourg — scoring streak (home)2
Lille — winless run (away)0
Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Strasbourg Win (1)51%
Draw (X)22%
Lille Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 65%
41% +1.5 41%
29% +2.5 24%
12% +3.5 18%
12% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 35%
59% -1.5 59%
71% -2.5 76%
88% -3.5 82%
88% -4.5 94%

Strasbourg vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Strasbourg — scored (home)1.76
Strasbourg — conceded (home)1.12
Lille — scored (away)1.65
Lille — conceded (away)1.18
Model expected combined goals3.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Strasbourg — BTTS matches (home)53%
Lille — BTTS matches (away)29%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Strasbourg (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.5

Lille (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Strasbourg
16 11 2 9 10
Lille
8 10 19 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Strasbourg (home)

For1.4

Lille (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Strasbourg — total shots (home)12.1
Lille — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Strasbourg — on target (home)5.1
Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Strasbourg

Inside the box7.94
Outside the box3.53

Lille

Inside the box9.56
Outside the box4.06

Player Shots Strasbourg

J. Panichelli
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Enciso
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Emegha
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Godo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Nanasi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target31%
H. Igamane
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
O. Giroud
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
H. Haraldsson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Diaoune
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Strasbourg xG (home)1.59
Lille xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

53.74% Possession 55.85%

Team Comparison Strasbourg vs Lille

87.5% Pass accuracy 85.09%
518.29 Passes per match 496.88
0.04 Goals prevented 0.2
11.26 Fouls committed 10.88
3.24 Goalkeeper saves 2.24
1.94 Offsides 1.47
16.15 Tackles per match 15.15

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Strasbourg vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Strasbourg vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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