Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Strasbourg vs Lyon

Strasbourg vs Lyon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-03-28 19:45
Strasbourg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Lyon
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
25%
2
34%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Strasbourg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate76%

Lyon (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Strasbourg
LLWWD
Lyon
WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 82%
71% +1.5 47%
29% +2.5 24%
6% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Strasbourg averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Lyon averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
25%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Strasbourg 3 - 1 Lyon Home
Oct 2025 Strasbourg(A) 1 - 2 Lyon Away
Mar 2025 Strasbourg 4 - 2 Lyon Home
Aug 2024 Strasbourg(A) 3 - 4 Lyon Away
May 2024 Strasbourg(A) 1 - 2 Lyon Away

In the last 5 meetings, Strasbourg won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Strasbourg — unbeaten run (home)0
Strasbourg — scoring streak (home)6
Lyon — winless run (away)2
Lyon — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Strasbourg Win (1)41%
Draw (X)25%
Lyon Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 82%
71% +1.5 47%
29% +2.5 24%
6% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 18%
29% -1.5 53%
71% -2.5 76%
94% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 100%

Strasbourg vs Lyon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Strasbourg — scored (home)1.94
Strasbourg — conceded (home)1.18
Lyon — scored (away)1.65
Lyon — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Strasbourg — BTTS matches (home)76%
Lyon — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Strasbourg (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.7

Lyon (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Strasbourg
5 13 8 8 7
Lyon
14 9 10 8 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Strasbourg (home)

For2.1

Lyon (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Strasbourg — total shots (home)10.6
Lyon — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Strasbourg — on target (home)4.4
Lyon — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Strasbourg

Inside the box7.44
Outside the box3.06

Lyon

Inside the box9.53
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Strasbourg

E. Emegha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Mara
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Amo-Ameyaw
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
Diego Moreira
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Bakwa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Lyon

A. Lacazette
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target37%
G. Orban
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
R. Cherki
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Mikautadze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Nuamah
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Strasbourg xG (home)1.42
Lyon xG (away)1.8

Average Possession

50.15% Possession 56.62%

Team Comparison Strasbourg vs Lyon

85.56% Pass accuracy 85.71%
477.26 Passes per match 517.71
0.01 Goals prevented 0.04
11.56 Fouls committed 11.97
3.74 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
1.5 Offsides 2.29
15.79 Tackles per match 16.88

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Strasbourg vs Lyon prediction analysis

Review Strasbourg vs Lyon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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