What markets are included in the Strasbourg vs Marseille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Strasbourg vs Marseille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Strasbourg vs Marseille

Strasbourg vs Marseille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2024-09-29 18:45

Strasbourg

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

77%

Confidence

High

Score

1-2

Marseille

Away

Prediction Summary

26%

19%

55%

Over 2.5

77%

BTTS Yes

73%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Strasbourg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1.18

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate76%

Marseille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Strasbourg

LLWWD

Marseille

WWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%

71% +1.5 59%

29% +2.5 35%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 12%

76% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 77%. Model confidence is High.

Strasbourg averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Marseille averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

26%

Draw

19%

Away Win

55%

Over 2.5

77%

BTTS Yes

73%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Strasbourg(A) 2 - 2 Marseille Draw

Sep 2025 Strasbourg 1 - 2 Marseille Away

Jan 2025 Strasbourg(A) 1 - 1 Marseille Draw

Sep 2024 Strasbourg 1 - 0 Marseille Home

Jan 2024 Strasbourg(A) 1 - 1 Marseille Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Strasbourg won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Strasbourg — unbeaten run (home)0

Strasbourg — scoring streak (home)6

Marseille — winless run (away)0

Marseille — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Strasbourg Win (1)26%

Draw (X)19%

Marseille Win (2)55%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%

71% +1.5 59%

29% +2.5 35%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 12%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%

29% -1.5 41%

71% -2.5 65%

94% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 88%

Strasbourg vs Marseille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Strasbourg — scored (home)1.94

Strasbourg — conceded (home)1.18

Marseille — scored (away)1.94

Marseille — conceded (away)1.41

Model expected combined goals4.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes73%

No27%

Rate per Team

Strasbourg — BTTS matches (home)76%

Marseille — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.580%

Under 6.520%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Strasbourg (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.7

Marseille (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Strasbourg

5 13 8 8 7

Marseille

9 7 7 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.580%

Under 2.520%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Strasbourg (home)

For2.1

Marseille (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Strasbourg — total shots (home)10.6

Marseille — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Strasbourg — on target (home)4.4

Marseille — on target (away)5.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Strasbourg

Inside the box7.44

Outside the box3.06

Marseille

Inside the box9.94

Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Strasbourg

E. Emegha

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target78%

+1.5 On Target33%

S. Mara

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target8%

S. Amo-Ameyaw

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

Diego Moreira

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Bakwa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target59%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target50%

A. Rabiot

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Nadir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Strasbourg xG (home)1.42

Marseille xG (away)1.91

Average Possession

50.15% Possession 63.59%

Team Comparison Strasbourg vs Marseille

85.56% Pass accuracy 88.94%

477.26 Passes per match 642.18

0.01 Goals prevented 0.11

11.56 Fouls committed 11.59

3.74 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

1.5 Offsides 1.66

15.79 Tackles per match 16.21

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Strasbourg vs Marseille prediction analysis

Review Strasbourg vs Marseille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights