Prediction Analysis: Strasbourg vs Monaco
Strasbourg vs Monaco prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Ligue 1
2026-09-12
15:00
Strasbourg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Monaco
Away
Prediction Summary
1
48%
X
23%
2
29%
+2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Strasbourg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate53%
Monaco (Away)
Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
Strasbourg
WWDLW
Monaco
LLWDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
71%
41%
+1.5
47%
29%
+2.5
24%
12%
+3.5
12%
12%
+4.5
6%
53%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.
Strasbourg averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Monaco averages 1.59 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
48%
Draw
23%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Strasbourg
5 - 4
Monaco
Home
Aug 2025
Strasbourg(A)
2 - 3
Monaco
Away
Apr 2025
Strasbourg(A)
0 - 0
Monaco
Draw
Nov 2024
Strasbourg
1 - 3
Monaco
Away
Mar 2024
Strasbourg
0 - 1
Monaco
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Strasbourg won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Strasbourg — unbeaten run (home)1
Strasbourg — scoring streak (home)2
Monaco — winless run (away)1
Monaco — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Strasbourg Win (1)48%
Draw (X)23%
Monaco Win (2)29%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
71%
41%
+1.5
47%
29%
+2.5
24%
12%
+3.5
12%
12%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
29%
59%
-1.5
53%
71%
-2.5
76%
88%
-3.5
88%
88%
-4.5
94%
Strasbourg vs Monaco — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Strasbourg — scored (home)1.76
Strasbourg — conceded (home)1.12
Monaco — scored (away)1.59
Monaco — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals3.15
Both Teams To Score
Yes62%
No38%
Rate per Team
Strasbourg — BTTS matches (home)53%
Monaco — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)62%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Strasbourg (home)
Corners for4.9
Corners against4.5
Monaco (away)
Corners for5.2
Corners against4.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Strasbourg
16
11
2
9
10
Monaco
14
6
14
7
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Strasbourg (home)
For1.4
Monaco (away)
For2.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.35
Strasbourg
Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.86
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.62
Monaco
Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.49
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.44
Shots per Game
Strasbourg — total shots (home)12.1
Monaco — total shots (away)12.9
Shots on Target
Strasbourg — on target (home)5.1
Monaco — on target (away)4.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Strasbourg
Inside the box7.94
Outside the box3.53
Monaco
Inside the box9.18
Outside the box3.35
Player Shots Strasbourg
J. Panichelli
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Enciso
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Emegha
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Godo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Nanasi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots Monaco
F. Balogun
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target27%
Ansu Fati
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target28%
A. Golovin
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Akliouche
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%
P. Cabral
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Strasbourg xG (home)1.59
Monaco xG (away)1.7
Average Possession
53.74%
Possession
53.79%
Team Comparison Strasbourg vs Monaco
87.5%
Pass accuracy
83.32%
518.29
Passes per match
480.44
0.04
Goals prevented
-0.11
11.26
Fouls committed
12.97
3.24
Goalkeeper saves
2.76
1.94
Offsides
2.43
16.15
Tackles per match
17.53
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Strasbourg vs Monaco prediction analysis
Review Strasbourg vs Monaco with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights