Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Strasbourg vs Montpellier

Strasbourg vs Montpellier prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-02-09 16:15
Strasbourg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Montpellier
Away

Prediction Summary

1
66%
X
20%
2
14%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Strasbourg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate76%

Montpellier (Away)

Goals scored / match0.35
Goals conceded / match2.24
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate24%

Team Form last 5 matches

Strasbourg
LLWWD
Montpellier
LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 24%
71% +1.5 12%
29% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 24%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Strasbourg averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Montpellier averages 0.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
66%
Draw
20%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Strasbourg 2 - 0 Montpellier Home
Aug 2024 Strasbourg(A) 1 - 1 Montpellier Draw
Mar 2024 Strasbourg(A) 2 - 2 Montpellier Draw
Sep 2023 Strasbourg 2 - 2 Montpellier Draw
Feb 2023 Strasbourg 2 - 0 Montpellier Home

In the last 5 meetings, Strasbourg won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Strasbourg — unbeaten run (home)0
Strasbourg — scoring streak (home)6
Montpellier — winless run (away)8
Montpellier — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Strasbourg Win (1)66%
Draw (X)20%
Montpellier Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 24%
71% +1.5 12%
29% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 76%
29% -1.5 88%
71% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Strasbourg vs Montpellier — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Strasbourg — scored (home)1.94
Strasbourg — conceded (home)1.18
Montpellier — scored (away)0.35
Montpellier — conceded (away)2.24
Model expected combined goals2.89

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Strasbourg — BTTS matches (home)76%
Montpellier — BTTS matches (away)24%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Strasbourg (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.7

Montpellier (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Strasbourg
5 13 8 8 7
Montpellier
9 10 10 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Strasbourg (home)

For2.1

Montpellier (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Strasbourg — total shots (home)10.6
Montpellier — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Strasbourg — on target (home)4.4
Montpellier — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Strasbourg

Inside the box7.44
Outside the box3.06

Montpellier

Inside the box6.24
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Strasbourg

E. Emegha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Mara
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Amo-Ameyaw
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
Diego Moreira
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Bakwa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Montpellier

A. Delort
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Adams
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
O. Maamma
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Nordin
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target25%
T. Savanier
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Strasbourg xG (home)1.42
Montpellier xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

50.15% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Strasbourg vs Montpellier

85.56% Pass accuracy 80.53%
477.26 Passes per match 388.79
0.01 Goals prevented -0.1
11.56 Fouls committed 12.56
3.74 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
1.5 Offsides 2.1
15.79 Tackles per match 19

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Strasbourg vs Montpellier prediction analysis

Review Strasbourg vs Montpellier with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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