Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sturm Graz vs Bodo/Glimt

Sturm Graz vs Bodo/Glimt prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-08-26 19:00
Sturm Graz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Bodo/Glimt
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
20%
2
21%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sturm Graz (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match0.8
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate20%

Bodo/Glimt (Away)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match2.29
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate86%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sturm Graz
WLWLL
Bodo/Glimt
LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 86%
20% +1.5 57%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
20% BTTS 86%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sturm Graz averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while Bodo/Glimt averages 1.43 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
20%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Sturm Graz 2 - 1 Bodo/Glimt Home
Aug 2025 Sturm Graz(A) 0 - 5 Bodo/Glimt Away

In the last 2 meetings, Sturm Graz won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sturm Graz — unbeaten run (home)3
Sturm Graz — scoring streak (home)3
Bodo/Glimt — winless run (away)1
Bodo/Glimt — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sturm Graz Win (1)59%
Draw (X)20%
Bodo/Glimt Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 86%
20% +1.5 57%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 14%
80% -1.5 43%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sturm Graz vs Bodo/Glimt — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sturm Graz — scored (home)0.8
Sturm Graz — conceded (home)0.8
Bodo/Glimt — scored (away)1.43
Bodo/Glimt — conceded (away)2.29
Model expected combined goals3.36

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (home)20%
Bodo/Glimt — BTTS matches (away)86%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.5100%
Under 7.50%
Over 8.5100%
Under 8.50%
Over 9.590%
Under 9.510%
Over 10.590%
Under 10.510%
Expected total corners (blended average)12.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sturm Graz (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against7.0

Bodo/Glimt (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against10.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sturm Graz
11 13 12 6 11
Bodo/Glimt
13 6 17 9 20

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Sturm Graz (home)

For2.5

Bodo/Glimt (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Sturm Graz — total shots (home)9.3
Bodo/Glimt — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Sturm Graz — on target (home)4.3
Bodo/Glimt — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sturm Graz

Inside the box4.38
Outside the box4

Bodo/Glimt

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box2.86

Player Shots Sturm Graz

J. Gazibegović
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Biereth
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
W. Bøving
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Zvonarek
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Bodo/Glimt

K. Høgh
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
D. Bassi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Fet
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Hauge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
H. Evjen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sturm Graz xG (home)0.84
Bodo/Glimt xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

37.38% Possession 46.93%

Team Comparison Sturm Graz vs Bodo/Glimt

77.25% Pass accuracy 81.14%
333.88 Passes per match 455.29
0.44 Goals prevented 0.2
13.13 Fouls committed 9.79
3.88 Goalkeeper saves 5.29
2.25 Offsides 1.23
20.2 Tackles per match 17.71

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sturm Graz vs Bodo/Glimt prediction analysis

Review Sturm Graz vs Bodo/Glimt with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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