Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sturm Graz vs Girona

Sturm Graz vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-11-27 17:45
Sturm Graz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
19%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Girona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
33%
2
12%
Under 2.5
81%
BTTS No
79%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Sturm Graz (Home)

Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match0.75
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match1.75
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sturm Graz
WLLWL
Girona
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 0%
0% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 19%. Model confidence is High.

Sturm Graz averages 0.5 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
81%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
33%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
19%
BTTS Yes
21%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Girona Home

In the last 1 meetings, Sturm Graz won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sturm Graz — unbeaten run (home)2
Sturm Graz — scoring streak (home)2
Girona — winless run (away)4
Girona — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Sturm Graz Win (1)55%
Draw (X)33%
Girona Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 0%
0% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 100%
100% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sturm Graz vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sturm Graz — scored (home)0.5
Sturm Graz — conceded (home)0.75
Girona — scored (away)0
Girona — conceded (away)1.75
Model expected combined goals1.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes21%
No79%

Rate per Team

Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (home)0%
Girona — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)0%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.588%
Under 8.512%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sturm Graz (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against7.0

Girona (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sturm Graz
14 11 11 13 12
Girona
10 11 13 9 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Sturm Graz (home)

For2.5

Girona (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Sturm Graz — total shots (home)9.3
Girona — total shots (away)7.5

Shots on Target

Sturm Graz — on target (home)4.3
Girona — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sturm Graz

Inside the box4.38
Outside the box4

Girona

Inside the box6.63
Outside the box3.25

Player Shots Sturm Graz

J. Gazibegović
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Malic
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
O. Kiteishvili
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Biereth
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Zvonarek
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Girona

B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Miguel Gutiérrez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Y. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Danjuma
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Stuani
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sturm Graz xG (home)0.84
Girona xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

37.38% Possession 51%

Team Comparison Sturm Graz vs Girona

77.25% Pass accuracy 85.63%
333.88 Passes per match 466.38
0.44 Goals prevented 0.52
13.13 Fouls committed 14.5
3.88 Goalkeeper saves 4.5
2.25 Offsides 1.5
19.38 Tackles per match 16.63

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sturm Graz vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Sturm Graz vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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