What markets are included in the Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz

Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-11-23 13:30

Sturm Graz

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

35%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lask Linz

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

30%

34%

Under 2.5

65%

BTTS No

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Sturm Graz (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate56%

Lask Linz (Away)

Goals scored / match1.75

Goals conceded / match1.44

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sturm Graz

WWDDD

Lask Linz

WWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 81%

19% +1.5 56%

0% +2.5 25%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 6%

56% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sturm Graz averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Lask Linz averages 1.75 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

30%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

35%

BTTS Yes

42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Lask Linz Draw

Apr 2026 Sturm Graz(A) 1 - 1 Lask Linz Draw

Nov 2025 Sturm Graz 1 - 3 Lask Linz Away

Aug 2025 Sturm Graz(A) 2 - 0 Lask Linz Home

Mar 2025 Sturm Graz 4 - 2 Lask Linz Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sturm Graz won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sturm Graz — unbeaten run (home)9

Sturm Graz — scoring streak (home)3

Lask Linz — winless run (away)0

Lask Linz — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sturm Graz Win (1)36%

Draw (X)30%

Lask Linz Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 81%

19% +1.5 56%

0% +2.5 25%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 19%

81% -1.5 44%

100% -2.5 75%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 94%

Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sturm Graz — scored (home)1.06

Sturm Graz — conceded (home)1.06

Lask Linz — scored (away)1.75

Lask Linz — conceded (away)1.44

Model expected combined goals2.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%

No58%

Rate per Team

Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (home)56%

Lask Linz — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)59.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sturm Graz (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.1

Lask Linz (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sturm Graz

12 7 13 9 12

Lask Linz

12 8 4 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Sturm Graz (home)

For1.9

Lask Linz (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Sturm Graz — total shots (home)15.9

Lask Linz — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Sturm Graz — on target (home)4.4

Lask Linz — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sturm Graz

Inside the box9.91

Outside the box5.78

Lask Linz

Inside the box9.97

Outside the box5.59

Player Shots Sturm Graz

O. Kiteishvili

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target28%

M. Malone

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Johnston

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

L. Grgić

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Horvat

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Lask Linz

S. Adeniran

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

M. Usor

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target17%

S. Kalajdzic

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target13%

K. Jørgensen

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target6%

X. Mbuyamba

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sturm Graz xG (home)1.68

Lask Linz xG (away)1.97

Average Possession

53.97% Possession 49%

Team Comparison Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz

75.13% Pass accuracy 79.16%

388.34 Passes per match 390.38

0.11 Goals prevented 0.02

11.59 Fouls committed 10.81

2.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

1.57 Offsides 1.44

17.69 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz prediction analysis

Review Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights