What markets are included in the Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna

Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-08-10 15:00

Sturm Graz

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Rapid Vienna

Away

Prediction Summary

39%

29%

32%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Sturm Graz (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate56%

Rapid Vienna (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sturm Graz

WWDDD

Rapid Vienna

WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 82%

19% +1.5 24%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

56% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sturm Graz averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Rapid Vienna averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

39%

Draw

29%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Sturm Graz 2 - 0 Rapid Vienna Home

Apr 2026 Sturm Graz(A) 2 - 0 Rapid Vienna Home

Nov 2025 Sturm Graz(A) 1 - 2 Rapid Vienna Away

Aug 2025 Sturm Graz 1 - 2 Rapid Vienna Away

May 2025 Sturm Graz(A) 1 - 3 Rapid Vienna Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sturm Graz won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Sturm Graz — unbeaten run (home)9

Sturm Graz — scoring streak (home)3

Rapid Vienna — winless run (away)5

Rapid Vienna — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sturm Graz Win (1)39%

Draw (X)29%

Rapid Vienna Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 82%

19% +1.5 24%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 18%

81% -1.5 76%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sturm Graz — scored (home)1.06

Sturm Graz — conceded (home)1.06

Rapid Vienna — scored (away)1.06

Rapid Vienna — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals2.27

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (home)56%

Rapid Vienna — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.567%

Under 7.533%

Over 8.564%

Under 8.536%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.546%

Under 10.554%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sturm Graz (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.1

Rapid Vienna (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sturm Graz

12 7 13 9 12

Rapid Vienna

4 9 12 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Sturm Graz (home)

For1.9

Rapid Vienna (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Sturm Graz — total shots (home)15.9

Rapid Vienna — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Sturm Graz — on target (home)4.4

Rapid Vienna — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sturm Graz

Inside the box9.91

Outside the box5.78

Rapid Vienna

Inside the box8

Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Sturm Graz

O. Kiteishvili

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target28%

M. Malone

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Johnston

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

L. Grgić

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Horvat

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Rapid Vienna

C. M'Buyi

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target31%

E. Kara

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Radulović

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Seidl

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

L. Schaub

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sturm Graz xG (home)1.68

Rapid Vienna xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

53.97% Possession 55.74%

Team Comparison Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna

75.13% Pass accuracy 80.53%

388.34 Passes per match 442.68

0.11 Goals prevented -0.23

11.59 Fouls committed 10.26

2.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.53

1.57 Offsides 2.15

17.69 Tackles per match 15.09

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna prediction analysis

Review Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights