Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach

Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-08-15 17:30
Sturm Graz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
SCR Altach
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
28%
2
29%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sturm Graz (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

SCR Altach (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate38%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sturm Graz
WWDDD
SCR Altach
WDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 50%
19% +1.5 38%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 38%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sturm Graz averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while SCR Altach averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
28%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Sturm Graz 2 - 0 SCR Altach Home
Feb 2026 Sturm Graz(A) 1 - 3 SCR Altach Away
Oct 2025 Sturm Graz(A) 2 - 0 SCR Altach Home
Nov 2024 Sturm Graz(A) 1 - 1 SCR Altach Draw
Aug 2024 Sturm Graz 2 - 1 SCR Altach Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sturm Graz won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sturm Graz — unbeaten run (home)9
Sturm Graz — scoring streak (home)3
SCR Altach — winless run (away)8
SCR Altach — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sturm Graz Win (1)43%
Draw (X)28%
SCR Altach Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 50%
19% +1.5 38%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 50%
81% -1.5 62%
100% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sturm Graz — scored (home)1.06
Sturm Graz — conceded (home)1.06
SCR Altach — scored (away)0.94
SCR Altach — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (home)56%
SCR Altach — BTTS matches (away)38%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sturm Graz (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.1

SCR Altach (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sturm Graz
12 7 13 9 12
SCR Altach
10 9 11 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Sturm Graz (home)

For1.9

SCR Altach (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.542%
Under 25.558%
Expected total shots24.62

Sturm Graz

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.23
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.70

SCR Altach

Shots Over 9.554%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots10.39
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.35

Shots per Game

Sturm Graz — total shots (home)15.9
SCR Altach — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Sturm Graz — on target (home)4.4
SCR Altach — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sturm Graz

Inside the box9.91
Outside the box5.78

SCR Altach

Inside the box6.53
Outside the box3.59

Player Shots Sturm Graz

O. Kiteishvili
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Malone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Grgić
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots SCR Altach

P. Greil
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target21%
S. Hrstić
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target8%
O. Diawara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Ouédraogo
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target3%
M. Mustapha
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sturm Graz xG (home)1.68
SCR Altach xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

53.97% Possession 51.63%

Team Comparison Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach

75.13% Pass accuracy 73.59%
388.34 Passes per match 390.72
0.11 Goals prevented -0.3
11.59 Fouls committed 12.25
2.59 Goalkeeper saves 3.16
1.57 Offsides 1.87
17.69 Tackles per match 17.06

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach prediction analysis

Review Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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