Prediction Analysis: Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-10-26
13:30
Sturm Graz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Wolfsberger AC
Away
Prediction Summary
1
21%
X
26%
2
53%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Sturm Graz (Home)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%
Wolfsberger AC (Away)
Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sturm Graz
WWDDD
Wolfsberger AC
LWWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
76%
19%
+1.5
29%
0%
+2.5
18%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
56%
BTTS
65%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.
Sturm Graz averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Wolfsberger AC averages 1.29 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
21%
Draw
26%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Sturm Graz(A)
2 - 2
Wolfsberger AC
Draw
Oct 2025
Sturm Graz
1 - 3
Wolfsberger AC
Away
May 2025
Sturm Graz
1 - 1
Wolfsberger AC
Draw
Mar 2025
Sturm Graz(A)
1 - 1
Wolfsberger AC
Draw
Feb 2025
Sturm Graz(A)
0 - 3
Wolfsberger AC
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Sturm Graz won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Sturm Graz — unbeaten run (home)9
Sturm Graz — scoring streak (home)3
Wolfsberger AC — winless run (away)1
Wolfsberger AC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Sturm Graz Win (1)21%
Draw (X)26%
Wolfsberger AC Win (2)53%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
76%
19%
+1.5
29%
0%
+2.5
18%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
24%
81%
-1.5
71%
100%
-2.5
82%
100%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sturm Graz — scored (home)1.06
Sturm Graz — conceded (home)1.06
Wolfsberger AC — scored (away)1.29
Wolfsberger AC — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.33
Both Teams To Score
Yes44%
No56%
Rate per Team
Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (home)56%
Wolfsberger AC — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)60.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sturm Graz (home)
Corners for5.8
Corners against4.1
Wolfsberger AC (away)
Corners for3.5
Corners against5.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sturm Graz
12
7
13
9
12
Wolfsberger AC
13
11
12
8
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Sturm Graz (home)
For1.9
Wolfsberger AC (away)
For2.9
Shots per Game
Sturm Graz — total shots (home)15.9
Wolfsberger AC — total shots (away)10.6
Shots on Target
Sturm Graz — on target (home)4.4
Wolfsberger AC — on target (away)4.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sturm Graz
Inside the box9.91
Outside the box5.78
Wolfsberger AC
Inside the box6.67
Outside the box4.3
Player Shots Sturm Graz
O. Kiteishvili
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Malone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Grgić
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
Player Shots Wolfsberger AC
J. Ngankam
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Zukić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Pink
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Atanga
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Schöpf
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sturm Graz xG (home)1.68
Wolfsberger AC xG (away)1.04
Average Possession
53.97%
Possession
50.67%
Team Comparison Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC
75.13%
Pass accuracy
76.88%
388.34
Passes per match
414.45
0.11
Goals prevented
-0.17
11.59
Fouls committed
11.09
2.59
Goalkeeper saves
2.76
1.57
Offsides
1.94
17.69
Tackles per match
16.15
League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC prediction analysis
Review Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights