Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens

Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-12-03 19:30
Sturm Graz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
WSG Wattens
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
28%
2
39%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sturm Graz (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

WSG Wattens (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.81
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sturm Graz
WWDDD
WSG Wattens
LDLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 50%
19% +1.5 19%
0% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sturm Graz averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while WSG Wattens averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
28%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Sturm Graz(A) 0 - 1 WSG Wattens Away
Dec 2025 Sturm Graz 1 - 3 WSG Wattens Away
Dec 2024 Sturm Graz(A) 3 - 0 WSG Wattens Home
Aug 2024 Sturm Graz 4 - 2 WSG Wattens Home
Feb 2024 Sturm Graz(A) 2 - 0 WSG Wattens Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sturm Graz won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sturm Graz — unbeaten run (home)9
Sturm Graz — scoring streak (home)3
WSG Wattens — winless run (away)5
WSG Wattens — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sturm Graz Win (1)33%
Draw (X)28%
WSG Wattens Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 50%
19% +1.5 19%
0% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 50%
81% -1.5 81%
100% -2.5 81%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sturm Graz — scored (home)1.06
Sturm Graz — conceded (home)1.06
WSG Wattens — scored (away)0.88
WSG Wattens — conceded (away)1.81
Model expected combined goals2.39

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (home)56%
WSG Wattens — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sturm Graz (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.1

WSG Wattens (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sturm Graz
12 7 13 9 12
WSG Wattens
10 9 9 5 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Sturm Graz (home)

For1.9

WSG Wattens (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Sturm Graz — total shots (home)15.9
WSG Wattens — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Sturm Graz — on target (home)4.4
WSG Wattens — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sturm Graz

Inside the box9.91
Outside the box5.78

WSG Wattens

Inside the box7.22
Outside the box4.56

Player Shots Sturm Graz

O. Kiteishvili
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Malone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Grgić
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots WSG Wattens

N. Frederiksen
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
V. Müller
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Wels
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Taferner
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Boras
Shots on Target/Game0.2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sturm Graz xG (home)1.68
WSG Wattens xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

53.97% Possession 44.41%

Team Comparison Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens

75.13% Pass accuracy 72.72%
388.34 Passes per match 343.78
0.11 Goals prevented -0.39
11.59 Fouls committed 11.75
2.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.16
1.57 Offsides 1.07
17.69 Tackles per match 15.13

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens prediction analysis

Review Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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