Prediction Analysis: Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella
Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie B
2026-08-22
13:00
Sudtirol
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Sudtirol
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Virtus Entella
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
28%
2
21%
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Sudtirol (Home)
Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate50%
Virtus Entella (Away)
Goals scored / match0.47
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sudtirol
DDDLL
Virtus Entella
WLWDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
55%
+0.5
42%
25%
+1.5
5%
15%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
37%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.
Sudtirol averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Virtus Entella averages 0.47 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
28%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
39%
Head-to-Head last 3
Mar 2026
Sudtirol
0 - 1
Virtus Entella
Away
Dec 2025
Sudtirol(A)
1 - 1
Virtus Entella
Draw
Aug 2019
Sudtirol(A)
2 - 1
Virtus Entella
Home
In the last 3 meetings, Sudtirol won 1, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Sudtirol — unbeaten run (home)2
Sudtirol — scoring streak (home)0
Virtus Entella — winless run (away)4
Virtus Entella — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Sudtirol Win (1)51%
Draw (X)28%
Virtus Entella Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
55%
+0.5
42%
25%
+1.5
5%
15%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
45%
-0.5
58%
75%
-1.5
95%
85%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sudtirol — scored (home)0.95
Sudtirol — conceded (home)1.05
Virtus Entella — scored (away)0.47
Virtus Entella — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.11
Both Teams To Score
Yes39%
No61%
Rate per Team
Sudtirol — BTTS matches (home)50%
Virtus Entella — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)43.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sudtirol (home)
Corners for5.0
Corners against4.2
Virtus Entella (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against4.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sudtirol
4
6
10
5
10
Virtus Entella
6
11
8
5
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Sudtirol (home)
For2.0
Virtus Entella (away)
For2.2
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.12
Sudtirol
Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.25
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.20
Virtus Entella
Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.87
On Target Over 3.541%
On Target Over 4.524%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.28
Shots per Game
Sudtirol — total shots (home)14.1
Virtus Entella — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Sudtirol — on target (home)3.5
Virtus Entella — on target (away)2.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sudtirol
Inside the box8.3
Outside the box4.2
Virtus Entella
Inside the box8.53
Outside the box4.34
Player Shots Sudtirol
R. Odogwu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%
S. Merkaj
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target16%
D. Casiraghi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Davì
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target3%
E. Pecorino
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target3%
Player Shots Virtus Entella
N. Squizzato
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
L. Cuppone
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target22%
Mattia Tirelli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Franzoni
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Debenedetti
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sudtirol xG (home)1.06
Virtus Entella xG (away)1.16
Average Possession
41.05%
Possession
46.32%
Team Comparison Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella
65.55%
Pass accuracy
75.82%
292.95
Passes per match
347.66
0.02
Goals prevented
-0.27
16.43
Fouls committed
15.92
2.45
Goalkeeper saves
2.47
1.86
Offsides
2.05
13.33
Tackles per match
13.13
League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella prediction analysis
Review Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights