Prediction Analysis: Sunderland vs Fulham
Sunderland vs Fulham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premier League
2026-08-30
13:00
Sunderland
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Sunderland
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Fulham
Away
Prediction Summary
1
49%
X
26%
2
25%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Sunderland (Home)
Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%
Fulham (Away)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sunderland
WWDDL
Fulham
WDLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
74%
+0.5
58%
42%
+1.5
21%
16%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.
Sunderland averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Fulham averages 0.89 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
49%
Draw
26%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
48%
Head-to-Head last 4
Feb 2026
Sunderland
1 - 3
Fulham
Away
Nov 2025
Sunderland(A)
0 - 1
Fulham
Away
Feb 2023
Sunderland
2 - 3
Fulham
Away
Jan 2023
Sunderland(A)
1 - 1
Fulham
Draw
In the last 4 meetings, Sunderland won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Sunderland — unbeaten run (home)2
Sunderland — scoring streak (home)1
Fulham — winless run (away)5
Fulham — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Sunderland Win (1)49%
Draw (X)26%
Fulham Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
74%
+0.5
58%
42%
+1.5
21%
16%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
26%
-0.5
42%
58%
-1.5
79%
84%
-2.5
89%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Sunderland vs Fulham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sunderland — scored (home)1.32
Sunderland — conceded (home)1.05
Fulham — scored (away)0.89
Fulham — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals2.45
Both Teams To Score
Yes48%
No52%
Rate per Team
Sunderland — BTTS matches (home)47%
Fulham — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sunderland (home)
Corners for3.9
Corners against4.7
Fulham (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sunderland
9
9
13
5
8
Fulham
7
7
13
9
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.577%
Under 1.523%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Sunderland (home)
For2.2
Fulham (away)
For2.2
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.03
Sunderland
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.543%
Expected shots13.15
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.38
Fulham
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.88
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.87
Shots per Game
Sunderland — total shots (home)12.1
Fulham — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Sunderland — on target (home)3.6
Fulham — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sunderland
Inside the box7.39
Outside the box3.03
Fulham
Inside the box8.55
Outside the box4.16
Player Shots Sunderland
B. Brobbey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
W. Isidor
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
H. Diarra
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Angulo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Fulham
H. Wilson
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Jiménez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Iwobi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target3%
Kevin
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target4%
Joshua King
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sunderland xG (home)1.02
Fulham xG (away)1.27
Average Possession
44.84%
Possession
51.71%
Team Comparison Sunderland vs Fulham
78.45%
Pass accuracy
83.58%
375.05
Passes per match
473.95
-0.16
Goals prevented
-0.2
10.71
Fouls committed
10.89
3.13
Goalkeeper saves
2.65
1.57
Offsides
1.74
15.39
Tackles per match
17.13
League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sunderland vs Fulham prediction analysis
Review Sunderland vs Fulham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights