Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2026-08-08 11:00
SV Darmstadt 98
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Holstein Kiel
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
23%
2
24%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SV Darmstadt 98 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.88
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate47%

Holstein Kiel (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

SV Darmstadt 98
LDLDL
Holstein Kiel
LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 88%
65% +1.5 29%
29% +2.5 12%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

SV Darmstadt 98 averages 1.88 goals scored at home, while Holstein Kiel averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 SV Darmstadt 98 2 - 0 Holstein Kiel Home
Oct 2025 SV Darmstadt 98(A) 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel Draw
Apr 2023 SV Darmstadt 98(A) 3 - 0 Holstein Kiel Home
Oct 2022 SV Darmstadt 98 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel Draw
Apr 2022 SV Darmstadt 98 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel Home

In the last 5 meetings, SV Darmstadt 98 won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

SV Darmstadt 98 — unbeaten run (home)0
SV Darmstadt 98 — scoring streak (home)0
Holstein Kiel — winless run (away)1
Holstein Kiel — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SV Darmstadt 98 Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
Holstein Kiel Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 88%
65% +1.5 29%
29% +2.5 12%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 12%
35% -1.5 71%
71% -2.5 88%
82% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SV Darmstadt 98 — scored (home)1.88
SV Darmstadt 98 — conceded (home)1
Holstein Kiel — scored (away)1.29
Holstein Kiel — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

SV Darmstadt 98 — BTTS matches (home)47%
Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

SV Darmstadt 98 (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.6

Holstein Kiel (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SV Darmstadt 98
8 12 8 12 7
Holstein Kiel
5 8 9 16 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

SV Darmstadt 98 (home)

For1.9

Holstein Kiel (away)

For3.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.583%
Under 19.517%
Over 22.570%
Under 22.530%
Over 25.556%
Under 25.544%
Expected total shots27.25

SV Darmstadt 98

Shots Over 9.588%
Shots Over 11.576%
Shots Over 13.561%
Expected shots15.37
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.557%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.16

Holstein Kiel

Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.88
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.84

Shots per Game

SV Darmstadt 98 — total shots (home)15.2
Holstein Kiel — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

SV Darmstadt 98 — on target (home)5.6
Holstein Kiel — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SV Darmstadt 98

Inside the box9.29
Outside the box4.65

Holstein Kiel

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.47

Player Shots SV Darmstadt 98

F. Hornby
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target32%
I. Lidberg
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target27%
L. Marseiler
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target8%
K. Corredor
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Richter
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Holstein Kiel

L. Köster
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
K. Davidsen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Skrzybski
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SV Darmstadt 98 xG (home)1.79
Holstein Kiel xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

51.44% Possession 51.71%

Team Comparison SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel

81.74% Pass accuracy 80.5%
439.82 Passes per match 420.15
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.24
11.53 Fouls committed 14.29
3.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.03
1.53 Offsides 1.58
14.41 Tackles per match 14.03

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel prediction analysis

Review SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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