Prediction Analysis: SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Nürnberg
SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-08-02
11:00
SV Elversberg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Prediction Summary
1
57%
X
23%
2
20%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
SV Elversberg (Home)
Goals scored / match2.06
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate47%
1. FC Nürnberg (Away)
Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate76%
Team Form last 5 matches
SV Elversberg
WLWDW
1. FC Nürnberg
DWDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
76%
53%
+1.5
24%
35%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
0%
12%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
76%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.
SV Elversberg averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Nürnberg averages 1.18 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
57%
Draw
23%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
SV Elversberg(A)
2 - 3
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Aug 2025
SV Elversberg
1 - 0
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
May 2025
SV Elversberg(A)
3 - 1
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
Dec 2024
SV Elversberg
2 - 1
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
May 2024
SV Elversberg(A)
0 - 3
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
In the last 5 meetings, SV Elversberg won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
SV Elversberg — unbeaten run (home)3
SV Elversberg — scoring streak (home)7
1. FC Nürnberg — winless run (away)4
1. FC Nürnberg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
SV Elversberg Win (1)57%
Draw (X)23%
1. FC Nürnberg Win (2)20%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
76%
53%
+1.5
24%
35%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
0%
12%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
24%
47%
-1.5
76%
65%
-2.5
82%
88%
-3.5
100%
88%
-4.5
100%
SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Nürnberg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
SV Elversberg — scored (home)2.06
SV Elversberg — conceded (home)0.82
1. FC Nürnberg — scored (away)1.18
1. FC Nürnberg — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.85
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
SV Elversberg — BTTS matches (home)47%
1. FC Nürnberg — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)61.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
SV Elversberg (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against3.7
1. FC Nürnberg (away)
Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
SV Elversberg
3
12
8
7
8
1. FC Nürnberg
4
8
9
10
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1
Yellow Cards per Team
SV Elversberg (home)
For1.3
1. FC Nürnberg (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
SV Elversberg — total shots (home)15.7
1. FC Nürnberg — total shots (away)11.5
Shots on Target
SV Elversberg — on target (home)5.5
1. FC Nürnberg — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
SV Elversberg
Inside the box10
Outside the box5
1. FC Nürnberg
Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.09
Player Shots SV Elversberg
Y. Ebnoutalib
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target41%
F. Keidel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Petkov
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target26%
I. Pherai
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
T. Zimmerschied
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target18%
Player Shots 1. FC Nürnberg
P. Scobel
Shots on Target/Game3.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Zoma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Koudossou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Lochoshvili
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
SV Elversberg xG (home)1.66
1. FC Nürnberg xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
53.41%
Possession
49.35%
Team Comparison SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Nürnberg
82.62%
Pass accuracy
80.79%
426.65
Passes per match
403.09
-0.76
Goals prevented
-0.2
10.85
Fouls committed
11.88
2.59
Goalkeeper saves
3
1.9
Offsides
1.34
14.15
Tackles per match
15.61
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction analysis
Review SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Nürnberg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights