Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-08-29 13:30
SV Elversberg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
22%
2
51%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SV Elversberg (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Bayer Leverkusen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bayer Leverkusen
DLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 76%
0% +1.5 53%
0% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

SV Elversberg averages 0 goals scored at home, while Bayer Leverkusen averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
22%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2024 SV Elversberg(A) 0 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen Away
Jul 2022 SV Elversberg 4 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen Home

In the last 2 meetings, SV Elversberg won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bayer Leverkusen — winless run (away)1
Bayer Leverkusen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SV Elversberg Win (1)27%
Draw (X)22%
Bayer Leverkusen Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 76%
0% +1.5 53%
0% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 24%
100% -1.5 47%
100% -2.5 59%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SV Elversberg — scored (home)0
SV Elversberg — conceded (home)0
Bayer Leverkusen — scored (away)1.76
Bayer Leverkusen — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

SV Elversberg — BTTS matches (home)0%
Bayer Leverkusen — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

SV Elversberg (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Bayer Leverkusen (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bayer Leverkusen
15 7 10 13 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.544%
Under 2.556%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

SV Elversberg (home)

For—

Bayer Leverkusen (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.92

SV Elversberg

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.91
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.11

Bayer Leverkusen

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots12.00
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.527%
Expected on target4.25

Shots per Game

SV Elversberg — total shots (home)—
Bayer Leverkusen — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

SV Elversberg — on target (home)—
Bayer Leverkusen — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SV Elversberg

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Bayer Leverkusen

Inside the box9.79
Outside the box5.38

Player Shots SV Elversberg

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target46%
Álex Grimaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
Christian Kofane
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Maza
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target21%
N. Tella
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SV Elversberg xG (home)-
Bayer Leverkusen xG (away)1.93

Average Possession

-% Possession 59.18%

Team Comparison SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

0% Pass accuracy 87.68%
- Passes per match 605.44
- Goals prevented 0.16
- Fouls committed 8.59
- Goalkeeper saves 3.53
- Offsides 1.34
- Tackles per match 14.06

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction and preview

Preview SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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