Prediction Analysis: SV Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
SV Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-12-14
12:30
SV Elversberg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Away
Prediction Summary
1
59%
X
23%
2
18%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
SV Elversberg (Home)
Goals scored / match2.06
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate47%
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Away)
Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%
Team Form last 5 matches
SV Elversberg
WLWDW
Fortuna Düsseldorf
LWLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
53%
53%
+1.5
12%
35%
+2.5
0%
12%
+3.5
0%
12%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
41%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.
SV Elversberg averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Fortuna Düsseldorf averages 0.65 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
59%
Draw
23%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
48%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
SV Elversberg(A)
1 - 3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Away
Dec 2025
SV Elversberg
1 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Home
Apr 2025
SV Elversberg
1 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Draw
Nov 2024
SV Elversberg(A)
2 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Home
Feb 2024
SV Elversberg(A)
1 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, SV Elversberg won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
SV Elversberg — unbeaten run (home)3
SV Elversberg — scoring streak (home)7
Fortuna Düsseldorf — winless run (away)5
Fortuna Düsseldorf — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
SV Elversberg Win (1)59%
Draw (X)23%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (2)18%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
53%
53%
+1.5
12%
35%
+2.5
0%
12%
+3.5
0%
12%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
47%
47%
-1.5
88%
65%
-2.5
100%
88%
-3.5
100%
88%
-4.5
100%
SV Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
SV Elversberg — scored (home)2.06
SV Elversberg — conceded (home)0.82
Fortuna Düsseldorf — scored (away)0.65
Fortuna Düsseldorf — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.64
Both Teams To Score
Yes48%
No52%
Rate per Team
SV Elversberg — BTTS matches (home)47%
Fortuna Düsseldorf — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)44%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
SV Elversberg (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against3.7
Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
SV Elversberg
3
12
8
7
8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
13
9
5
7
5
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
SV Elversberg (home)
For1.3
Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)
For2.7
Shots per Game
SV Elversberg — total shots (home)15.7
Fortuna Düsseldorf — total shots (away)12.6
Shots on Target
SV Elversberg — on target (home)5.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf — on target (away)3.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
SV Elversberg
Inside the box10
Outside the box5
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.35
Player Shots SV Elversberg
Y. Ebnoutalib
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target41%
F. Keidel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Petkov
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target26%
I. Pherai
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
T. Zimmerschied
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target18%
Player Shots Fortuna Düsseldorf
J. Daland
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
C. Itten
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
C. Rasmussen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Muslija
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. Schmidt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
SV Elversberg xG (home)1.66
Fortuna Düsseldorf xG (away)1.2
Average Possession
53.41%
Possession
49.26%
Team Comparison SV Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
82.62%
Pass accuracy
79.71%
426.65
Passes per match
414.65
-0.76
Goals prevented
0.01
10.85
Fouls committed
12.32
2.59
Goalkeeper saves
3.35
1.9
Offsides
1.85
14.15
Tackles per match
17.24
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
SV Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction analysis
Review SV Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights