Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SV Elversberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SV Elversberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
2. Bundesliga 2025-10-19 11:30
SV Elversberg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
22%
2
34%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SV Elversberg (Home)

Goals scored / match2.06
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate47%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Away)

Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

SV Elversberg
WLWDW
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 67%
53% +1.5 39%
35% +2.5 11%
12% +3.5 6%
12% +4.5 6%
47% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

SV Elversberg averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.28 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
22%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 SV Elversberg(A) 0 - 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Away
Oct 2025 SV Elversberg 6 - 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Home
Feb 2025 SV Elversberg 2 - 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Home
Sep 2024 SV Elversberg(A) 0 - 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Draw
Mar 2024 SV Elversberg(A) 4 - 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Home

In the last 5 meetings, SV Elversberg won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

SV Elversberg — unbeaten run (home)3
SV Elversberg — scoring streak (home)7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — winless run (away)5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SV Elversberg Win (1)44%
Draw (X)22%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 67%
53% +1.5 39%
35% +2.5 11%
12% +3.5 6%
12% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 33%
47% -1.5 61%
65% -2.5 89%
88% -3.5 94%
88% -4.5 94%

SV Elversberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SV Elversberg — scored (home)2.06
SV Elversberg — conceded (home)0.82
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (away)1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (away)2.11
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

SV Elversberg — BTTS matches (home)47%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

SV Elversberg (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.7

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SV Elversberg
3 12 8 7 8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9 20 5 9 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.589%
Under 0.511%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

SV Elversberg (home)

For1.3

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

SV Elversberg — total shots (home)15.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (away)12.4

Shots on Target

SV Elversberg — on target (home)5.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SV Elversberg

Inside the box10
Outside the box5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83

Player Shots SV Elversberg

Y. Ebnoutalib
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target41%
F. Keidel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Petkov
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target26%
I. Pherai
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
T. Zimmerschied
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth

F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SV Elversberg xG (home)1.66
SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

53.41% Possession 48.22%

Team Comparison SV Elversberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

82.62% Pass accuracy 78.69%
426.65 Passes per match 397.89
-0.76 Goals prevented 0.08
10.85 Fouls committed 11.33
2.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
1.9 Offsides 1.74
14.15 Tackles per match 15.75

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SV Elversberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction analysis

Review SV Elversberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top