What markets are included in the SV Wehen vs Erzgebirge Aue prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the SV Wehen vs Erzgebirge Aue prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: SV Wehen vs Erzgebirge Aue

SV Wehen vs Erzgebirge Aue prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-11-28 18:00

SV Wehen

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Erzgebirge Aue

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

25%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

SV Wehen (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate32%

BTTS rate68%

Erzgebirge Aue (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate79%

Team Form last 5 matches

SV Wehen

WLLDD

Erzgebirge Aue

WDWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 84%

68% +1.5 26%

32% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 11%

5% +4.5 5%

68% BTTS 79%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

SV Wehen averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Erzgebirge Aue averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

25%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 SV Wehen(A) 2 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue Draw

Nov 2025 SV Wehen 3 - 1 Erzgebirge Aue Home

Jan 2020 SV Wehen 1 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue Home

Aug 2019 SV Wehen(A) 2 - 3 Erzgebirge Aue Away

In the last 4 meetings, SV Wehen won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

SV Wehen — unbeaten run (home)1

SV Wehen — scoring streak (home)4

Erzgebirge Aue — winless run (away)0

Erzgebirge Aue — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SV Wehen Win (1)51%

Draw (X)25%

Erzgebirge Aue Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 84%

68% +1.5 26%

32% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 11%

5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 16%

32% -1.5 74%

68% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 89%

95% -4.5 95%

SV Wehen vs Erzgebirge Aue — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SV Wehen — scored (home)2.05

SV Wehen — conceded (home)1.37

Erzgebirge Aue — scored (away)1.37

Erzgebirge Aue — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

SV Wehen — BTTS matches (home)68%

Erzgebirge Aue — BTTS matches (away)79%

Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%

Under 4.516%

Over 5.580%

Under 5.520%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.567%

Under 7.533%

Over 8.567%

Under 8.533%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

SV Wehen (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against4.4

Erzgebirge Aue (away)

Corners for5.3

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SV Wehen

0 17 11 0 0

Erzgebirge Aue

0 17 4 8 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.591%

Under 2.59%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

SV Wehen (home)

For2.7

Erzgebirge Aue (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

SV Wehen — total shots (home)14.9

Erzgebirge Aue — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

SV Wehen — on target (home)5.9

Erzgebirge Aue — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SV Wehen

Inside the box7.36

Outside the box5.16

Erzgebirge Aue

Inside the box6.46

Outside the box4.58

Player Shots SV Wehen

M. Flotho

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target29%

F. Kaya

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target18%

T. Gözüsirin

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target14%

D. Bogićević

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

R. Kalem

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Erzgebirge Aue

M. Bär

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Guttau

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

E. Weinhauer

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target5%

M. Stefaniak

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

J. Fabisch

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SV Wehen xG (home)1.51

Erzgebirge Aue xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

47.44% Possession 47.31%

Team Comparison SV Wehen vs Erzgebirge Aue

80.32% Pass accuracy 79%

385.12 Passes per match 381.04

0 Goals prevented 0

14.08 Fouls committed 11.04

3.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.73

1.48 Offsides 2.04

3.52 Tackles per match 3.08

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SV Wehen vs Erzgebirge Aue prediction analysis

Review SV Wehen vs Erzgebirge Aue with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights