Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Swansea vs Ipswich

Swansea vs Ipswich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-08 15:00
Swansea
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Ipswich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
27%
2
41%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Swansea (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate61%

Ipswich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.61
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Swansea
WDWLW
Ipswich
WDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

91% +0.5 83%
39% +1.5 52%
13% +2.5 17%
4% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 0%
61% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Swansea averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while Ipswich averages 1.61 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Swansea(A) 0 - 3 Ipswich Away
Nov 2025 Swansea 1 - 4 Ipswich Away
Feb 2024 Swansea 1 - 2 Ipswich Away
Nov 2023 Swansea(A) 2 - 3 Ipswich Away

In the last 4 meetings, Swansea won 0, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Swansea — unbeaten run (home)1
Swansea — scoring streak (home)3
Ipswich — winless run (away)2
Ipswich — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Swansea Win (1)33%
Draw (X)27%
Ipswich Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

91% +0.5 83%
39% +1.5 52%
13% +2.5 17%
4% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

9% -0.5 17%
61% -1.5 48%
87% -2.5 83%
96% -3.5 91%
100% -4.5 100%

Swansea vs Ipswich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Swansea — scored (home)1.48
Swansea — conceded (home)1.17
Ipswich — scored (away)1.61
Ipswich — conceded (away)1.3
Model expected combined goals2.51

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Swansea — BTTS matches (home)61%
Ipswich — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)61%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Swansea (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.0

Ipswich (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Swansea
14 16 9 7 14
Ipswich
9 5 8 14 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Swansea (home)

For2.0

Ipswich (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Swansea — total shots (home)13.6
Ipswich — total shots (away)13.7

Shots on Target

Swansea — on target (home)3.8
Ipswich — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Swansea

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box5.2

Ipswich

Inside the box10.09
Outside the box4.98

Player Shots Swansea

Z. Vipotnik
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Idah
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Cullen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Walta
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Ronald
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Ipswich

J. Philogene
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
G. Hirst
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Iván Azón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Clarke
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Szmodics
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Swansea xG (home)1.12
Ipswich xG (away)1.71

Average Possession

54.57% Possession 56.07%

Team Comparison Swansea vs Ipswich

79.43% Pass accuracy 80.78%
461.63 Passes per match 439.63
-0.11 Goals prevented -0.01
9.7 Fouls committed 11.17
3.2 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
2.11 Offsides 2.04
15.37 Tackles per match 12.78

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Swansea vs Ipswich prediction analysis

Review Swansea vs Ipswich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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