What markets are included in the Swansea vs Leicester prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Swansea vs Leicester prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Swansea vs Leicester

Swansea vs Leicester prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-04 14:00

Swansea

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Leicester

Away

Prediction Summary

39%

28%

33%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Swansea (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48

Goals conceded / match1.17

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate61%

Leicester (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17

Goals conceded / match1.48

Over 2.5 rate9%

BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Swansea

WDWLW

Leicester

WDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

91% +0.5 83%

39% +1.5 26%

13% +2.5 9%

4% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

61% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Swansea averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while Leicester averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

39%

Draw

28%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Swansea(A) 1 - 0 Leicester Home

Oct 2025 Swansea 1 - 3 Leicester Away

Jan 2024 Swansea(A) 1 - 3 Leicester Away

Oct 2023 Swansea 1 - 3 Leicester Away

In the last 4 meetings, Swansea won 1, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Swansea — unbeaten run (home)1

Swansea — scoring streak (home)3

Leicester — winless run (away)0

Leicester — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Swansea Win (1)39%

Draw (X)28%

Leicester Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

91% +0.5 83%

39% +1.5 26%

13% +2.5 9%

4% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

9% -0.5 17%

61% -1.5 74%

87% -2.5 91%

96% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Swansea vs Leicester — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Swansea — scored (home)1.48

Swansea — conceded (home)1.17

Leicester — scored (away)1.17

Leicester — conceded (away)1.48

Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Swansea — BTTS matches (home)61%

Leicester — BTTS matches (away)74%

Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.581%

Under 7.519%

Over 8.570%

Under 8.530%

Over 9.557%

Under 9.543%

Over 10.546%

Under 10.554%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Swansea (home)

Corners for5.1

Corners against5.0

Leicester (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Swansea

14 16 9 7 14

Leicester

14 12 17 14 20

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Swansea (home)

For2.0

Leicester (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Swansea — total shots (home)13.6

Leicester — total shots (away)11.9

Shots on Target

Swansea — on target (home)3.8

Leicester — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Swansea

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box5.2

Leicester

Inside the box7.57

Outside the box5.28

Player Shots Swansea

Z. Vipotnik

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target23%

A. Idah

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Cullen

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

L. Walta

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target20%

Ronald

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Leicester

A. Ramsey

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Fatawu

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

J. James

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target12%

P. Daka

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

D. Mukasa

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Swansea xG (home)1.12

Leicester xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

54.57% Possession 51.87%

Team Comparison Swansea vs Leicester

79.43% Pass accuracy 80.17%

461.63 Passes per match 427.22

-0.11 Goals prevented -0.08

9.7 Fouls committed 10.76

3.2 Goalkeeper saves 2.69

2.11 Offsides 1.55

15.37 Tackles per match 15.85

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Swansea vs Leicester prediction analysis

Review Swansea vs Leicester with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights