Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea vs Norwich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-25 14:00
Swansea
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Norwich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
28%
2
40%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Swansea (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate61%

Norwich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Swansea
WDWLW
Norwich
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

91% +0.5 87%
39% +1.5 43%
13% +2.5 13%
4% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 4%
61% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Swansea averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while Norwich averages 1.57 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
28%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Swansea(A) 1 - 1 Norwich Draw
Oct 2025 Swansea 2 - 1 Norwich Home
Jan 2025 Swansea(A) 1 - 5 Norwich Away
Sep 2024 Swansea 1 - 0 Norwich Home
Apr 2024 Swansea(A) 2 - 2 Norwich Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Swansea won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Swansea — unbeaten run (home)1
Swansea — scoring streak (home)3
Norwich — winless run (away)1
Norwich — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Swansea Win (1)32%
Draw (X)28%
Norwich Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

91% +0.5 87%
39% +1.5 43%
13% +2.5 13%
4% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

9% -0.5 13%
61% -1.5 57%
87% -2.5 87%
96% -3.5 91%
100% -4.5 96%

Swansea vs Norwich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Swansea — scored (home)1.48
Swansea — conceded (home)1.17
Norwich — scored (away)1.57
Norwich — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Swansea — BTTS matches (home)61%
Norwich — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Swansea (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.0

Norwich (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Swansea
14 16 9 7 14
Norwich
14 12 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Swansea (home)

For2.0

Norwich (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Swansea — total shots (home)13.6
Norwich — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Swansea — on target (home)3.8
Norwich — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Swansea

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box5.2

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Player Shots Swansea

Z. Vipotnik
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Idah
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Cullen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Walta
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Ronald
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Swansea xG (home)1.12
Norwich xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

54.57% Possession 53.63%

Team Comparison Swansea vs Norwich

79.43% Pass accuracy 79.24%
461.63 Passes per match 435.28
-0.11 Goals prevented 0.13
9.7 Fouls committed 10.2
3.2 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
2.11 Offsides 1.93
15.37 Tackles per match 16.72

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Swansea vs Norwich prediction analysis

Review Swansea vs Norwich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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