Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Swansea vs West Brom

Swansea vs West Brom prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-01-01 15:00
Swansea
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
West Brom
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
26%
2
30%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Swansea (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate61%

West Brom (Away)

Goals scored / match0.87
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Swansea
WDWLW
West Brom
LDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

91% +0.5 65%
39% +1.5 17%
13% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
61% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Swansea averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while West Brom averages 0.87 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Swansea 1 - 1 West Brom Draw
Jan 2026 Swansea 1 - 0 West Brom Home
Nov 2025 Swansea(A) 2 - 3 West Brom Away
Jan 2025 Swansea 1 - 1 West Brom Draw
Aug 2024 Swansea(A) 0 - 1 West Brom Away

In the last 5 meetings, Swansea won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Swansea — unbeaten run (home)1
Swansea — scoring streak (home)3
West Brom — winless run (away)1
West Brom — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Swansea Win (1)45%
Draw (X)26%
West Brom Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

91% +0.5 65%
39% +1.5 17%
13% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

9% -0.5 35%
61% -1.5 83%
87% -2.5 96%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Swansea vs West Brom — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Swansea — scored (home)1.48
Swansea — conceded (home)1.17
West Brom — scored (away)0.87
West Brom — conceded (away)1.43
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Swansea — BTTS matches (home)61%
West Brom — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Swansea (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.0

West Brom (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Swansea
14 16 9 7 14
West Brom
12 14 7 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.589%
Under 0.511%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Swansea (home)

For2.0

West Brom (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Swansea — total shots (home)13.6
West Brom — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Swansea — on target (home)3.8
West Brom — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Swansea

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box5.2

West Brom

Inside the box8.78
Outside the box4.63

Player Shots Swansea

Z. Vipotnik
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Idah
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Cullen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Walta
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Ronald
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots West Brom

I. Price
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Heggebø
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Ahearne-Grant
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
N. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Swansea xG (home)1.12
West Brom xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

54.57% Possession 51.65%

Team Comparison Swansea vs West Brom

79.43% Pass accuracy 80.35%
461.63 Passes per match 449.07
-0.11 Goals prevented -0.03
9.7 Fouls committed 10.24
3.2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2.11 Offsides 1.79
15.37 Tackles per match 14.2

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Swansea vs West Brom prediction analysis

Review Swansea vs West Brom with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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