Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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USL Championship 2026-08-02 00:00
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Louisville City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
23%
2
49%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies (Home)

Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate81%

Louisville City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tampa Bay Rowdies
DLWDW
Louisville City
LWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 94%
50% +1.5 44%
25% +2.5 19%
6% +3.5 13%
0% +4.5 0%
81% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Tampa Bay Rowdies averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Louisville City averages 1.69 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
23%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jun 2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies(A) 1 - 2 Louisville City Away
Apr 2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 2 Louisville City Away
Oct 2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies(A) 1 - 2 Louisville City Away
Jun 2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies 3 - 2 Louisville City Home
Oct 2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies(A) 3 - 2 Louisville City Home

In the last 5 meetings, Tampa Bay Rowdies won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Tampa Bay Rowdies — unbeaten run (home)0
Tampa Bay Rowdies — scoring streak (home)6
Louisville City — winless run (away)2
Louisville City — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tampa Bay Rowdies Win (1)28%
Draw (X)23%
Louisville City Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 94%
50% +1.5 44%
25% +2.5 19%
6% +3.5 13%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 6%
50% -1.5 56%
75% -2.5 81%
94% -3.5 87%
100% -4.5 100%

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tampa Bay Rowdies — scored (home)1.69
Tampa Bay Rowdies — conceded (home)1.88
Louisville City — scored (away)1.69
Louisville City — conceded (away)0.88
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Tampa Bay Rowdies — BTTS matches (home)81%
Louisville City — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)72%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tampa Bay Rowdies (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Louisville City (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Tampa Bay Rowdies (home)

For—

Louisville City (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Tampa Bay Rowdies — total shots (home)—
Louisville City — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Tampa Bay Rowdies — on target (home)—
Louisville City — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Louisville City

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City prediction analysis

Review Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from USL Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance USL Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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