Prediction Analysis: Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Tampa Bay Rowdies
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Louisville City
Away
Prediction Summary
1
28%
X
23%
2
49%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Tampa Bay Rowdies (Home)
Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate81%
Louisville City (Away)
Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
DLWDW
Louisville City
LWLWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
94%
50%
+1.5
44%
25%
+2.5
19%
6%
+3.5
13%
0%
+4.5
0%
81%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.
Tampa Bay Rowdies averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Louisville City averages 1.69 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
28%
Draw
23%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jun 2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies(A)
1 - 2
Louisville City
Away
Apr 2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1 - 2
Louisville City
Away
Oct 2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies(A)
1 - 2
Louisville City
Away
Jun 2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
3 - 2
Louisville City
Home
Oct 2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies(A)
3 - 2
Louisville City
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Tampa Bay Rowdies won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Tampa Bay Rowdies — unbeaten run (home)0
Tampa Bay Rowdies — scoring streak (home)6
Louisville City — winless run (away)2
Louisville City — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Tampa Bay Rowdies Win (1)28%
Draw (X)23%
Louisville City Win (2)49%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
94%
50%
+1.5
44%
25%
+2.5
19%
6%
+3.5
13%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
6%
50%
-1.5
56%
75%
-2.5
81%
94%
-3.5
87%
100%
-4.5
100%
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Tampa Bay Rowdies — scored (home)1.69
Tampa Bay Rowdies — conceded (home)1.88
Louisville City — scored (away)1.69
Louisville City — conceded (away)0.88
Model expected combined goals3.06
Both Teams To Score
Yes60%
No40%
Rate per Team
Tampa Bay Rowdies — BTTS matches (home)81%
Louisville City — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)72%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Louisville City (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Tampa Bay Rowdies (home)
For—
Louisville City (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Tampa Bay Rowdies — total shots (home)—
Louisville City — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Tampa Bay Rowdies — on target (home)—
Louisville City — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Louisville City
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City prediction analysis
Review Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from USL Championship.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
USL Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights