Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Telstar vs Excelsior

Telstar vs Excelsior prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-11-01 20:00
Telstar
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
75%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Excelsior
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
20%
2
27%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
72%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Telstar (Home)

Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate71%

Excelsior (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Telstar
WWDWL
Excelsior
WDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 82%
59% +1.5 41%
29% +2.5 12%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.

Telstar averages 1.82 goals scored at home, while Excelsior averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
20%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
72%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Telstar(A) 2 - 2 Excelsior Draw
Nov 2025 Telstar 2 - 2 Excelsior Draw
Feb 2025 Telstar 1 - 3 Excelsior Away
Sep 2024 Telstar(A) 2 - 3 Excelsior Away
Apr 2022 Telstar(A) 4 - 1 Excelsior Home

In the last 5 meetings, Telstar won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Telstar — unbeaten run (home)2
Telstar — scoring streak (home)2
Excelsior — winless run (away)0
Excelsior — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Telstar Win (1)54%
Draw (X)20%
Excelsior Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 82%
59% +1.5 41%
29% +2.5 12%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 18%
41% -1.5 59%
71% -2.5 88%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Telstar vs Excelsior — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Telstar — scored (home)1.82
Telstar — conceded (home)1.65
Excelsior — scored (away)1.35
Excelsior — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%
No28%

Rate per Team

Telstar — BTTS matches (home)71%
Excelsior — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Telstar (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against5.6

Excelsior (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Telstar
12 11 9 13 7
Excelsior
7 5 13 5 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.553%
Under 2.547%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Telstar (home)

For1.2

Excelsior (away)

For1.3

Shots per Game

Telstar — total shots (home)13.5
Excelsior — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Telstar — on target (home)5.4
Excelsior — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Telstar

Inside the box8.41
Outside the box4.35

Excelsior

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.24

Player Shots Telstar

N. Þórisson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
Sebastiaan Hagedoorn
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Brouwer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target23%
S. van Duijn
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Zonneveld
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Excelsior

N. Naujoks
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Sanches Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. de Regt
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Yegoian
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Jonathans
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Telstar xG (home)1.49
Excelsior xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

45.12% Possession 47.56%

Team Comparison Telstar vs Excelsior

76.32% Pass accuracy 77.47%
362.44 Passes per match 404.35
0.31 Goals prevented 0.06
11.29 Fouls committed 12.29
4.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.82
1.88 Offsides 1.03
16.38 Tackles per match 14.41

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Telstar vs Excelsior prediction analysis

Review Telstar vs Excelsior with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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