Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen

Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-12-13 15:30
Telstar
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
75%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
NEC Nijmegen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
20%
2
48%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
73%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Telstar (Home)

Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate71%

NEC Nijmegen (Away)

Goals scored / match2.12
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Telstar
WWDWL
NEC Nijmegen
WLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 94%
59% +1.5 65%
29% +2.5 35%
12% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.

Telstar averages 1.82 goals scored at home, while NEC Nijmegen averages 2.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
20%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
73%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Telstar(A) 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Draw
Dec 2025 Telstar 2 - 2 NEC Nijmegen Draw
Apr 2021 Telstar(A) 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Draw
Jan 2021 Telstar 5 - 2 NEC Nijmegen Home
Feb 2020 Telstar 1 - 7 NEC Nijmegen Away

In the last 5 meetings, Telstar won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Telstar — unbeaten run (home)2
Telstar — scoring streak (home)2
NEC Nijmegen — winless run (away)2
NEC Nijmegen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Telstar Win (1)31%
Draw (X)20%
NEC Nijmegen Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 94%
59% +1.5 65%
29% +2.5 35%
12% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 6%
41% -1.5 35%
71% -2.5 65%
88% -3.5 82%
100% -4.5 100%

Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Telstar — scored (home)1.82
Telstar — conceded (home)1.65
NEC Nijmegen — scored (away)2.12
NEC Nijmegen — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes73%
No27%

Rate per Team

Telstar — BTTS matches (home)71%
NEC Nijmegen — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)79.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.565%
Under 9.535%
Over 10.559%
Under 10.541%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Telstar (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against5.6

NEC Nijmegen (away)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Telstar
12 11 9 13 7
NEC Nijmegen
5 12 9 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Telstar (home)

For1.2

NEC Nijmegen (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Telstar — total shots (home)13.5
NEC Nijmegen — total shots (away)15.8

Shots on Target

Telstar — on target (home)5.4
NEC Nijmegen — on target (away)6.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Telstar

Inside the box8.41
Outside the box4.35

NEC Nijmegen

Inside the box10.65
Outside the box6.41

Player Shots Telstar

N. Þórisson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
Sebastiaan Hagedoorn
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Brouwer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target23%
S. van Duijn
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Zonneveld
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots NEC Nijmegen

T. Chery
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target42%
B. Linssen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
N. Lebreton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Koki Ogawa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target19%
B. Önal
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Telstar xG (home)1.49
NEC Nijmegen xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

45.12% Possession 56.62%

Team Comparison Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen

76.32% Pass accuracy 78.74%
362.44 Passes per match 429.21
0.31 Goals prevented -0.09
11.29 Fouls committed 11.91
4.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.41
1.88 Offsides 2.19
16.38 Tackles per match 15.44

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen prediction analysis

Review Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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