Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2026-08-14 18:00
Telstar
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sparta Rotterdam
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
22%
2
27%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Telstar (Home)

Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate71%

Sparta Rotterdam (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Telstar
WWDWL
Sparta Rotterdam
LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 71%
59% +1.5 24%
29% +2.5 12%
12% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Telstar averages 1.82 goals scored at home, while Sparta Rotterdam averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
22%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 3

Jul 2026 Telstar(A) 0 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam Away
Apr 2026 Telstar 4 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam Home
Oct 2025 Telstar(A) 0 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam Away

In the last 3 meetings, Telstar won 1, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Telstar — unbeaten run (home)2
Telstar — scoring streak (home)2
Sparta Rotterdam — winless run (away)7
Sparta Rotterdam — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Telstar Win (1)51%
Draw (X)22%
Sparta Rotterdam Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 71%
59% +1.5 24%
29% +2.5 12%
12% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 29%
41% -1.5 76%
71% -2.5 88%
88% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Telstar — scored (home)1.82
Telstar — conceded (home)1.65
Sparta Rotterdam — scored (away)1.12
Sparta Rotterdam — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

Telstar — BTTS matches (home)71%
Sparta Rotterdam — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Telstar (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against5.6

Sparta Rotterdam (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Telstar
12 11 9 13 7
Sparta Rotterdam
7 11 14 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Telstar (home)

For1.2

Sparta Rotterdam (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.556%
Under 25.544%
Expected total shots28.12

Telstar

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.558%
Expected shots15.33
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.558%
On Target Over 5.544%
Expected on target5.43

Sparta Rotterdam

Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.79
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.66

Shots per Game

Telstar — total shots (home)13.5
Sparta Rotterdam — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

Telstar — on target (home)5.4
Sparta Rotterdam — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Telstar

Inside the box8.41
Outside the box4.35

Sparta Rotterdam

Inside the box8.41
Outside the box4.59

Player Shots Telstar

N. Þórisson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
Sebastiaan Hagedoorn
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Brouwer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target23%
S. van Duijn
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Zonneveld
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Sparta Rotterdam

T. Lauritsen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Zonneveld
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Mito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Oufkir
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Telstar xG (home)1.49
Sparta Rotterdam xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

45.12% Possession 47.03%

Team Comparison Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam

76.32% Pass accuracy 79.41%
362.44 Passes per match 396.12
0.31 Goals prevented 0.04
11.29 Fouls committed 9.85
4.5 Goalkeeper saves 4.21
1.88 Offsides 1.24
16.38 Tackles per match 17.06

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction analysis

Review Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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