Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Tenerife vs Almeria

Tenerife vs Almeria prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda División 2026-08-23 15:00
Tenerife
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Almeria
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
28%
2
29%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Tenerife (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Almeria (Away)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Almeria
LDWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 78%
0% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Tenerife averages 0 goals scored at home, while Almeria averages 1.3 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
28%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jun 2025 Tenerife(A) 0 - 2 Almeria Away
Aug 2024 Tenerife 0 - 1 Almeria Away
Mar 2022 Tenerife 0 - 1 Almeria Away
Sep 2021 Tenerife(A) 1 - 3 Almeria Away
May 2021 Tenerife 0 - 1 Almeria Away

In the last 5 meetings, Tenerife won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Almeria — winless run (away)4
Almeria — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tenerife Win (1)43%
Draw (X)28%
Almeria Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 78%
0% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 22%
100% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

Tenerife vs Almeria — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tenerife — scored (home)0
Tenerife — conceded (home)0
Almeria — scored (away)1.3
Almeria — conceded (away)1.48
Model expected combined goals2.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Tenerife — BTTS matches (home)0%
Almeria — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tenerife (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Almeria (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Almeria
4 8 12 6 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.544%
Under 2.556%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Tenerife (home)

For—

Almeria (away)

For2.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.73

Tenerife

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.37
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.55

Almeria

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.36
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.78

Shots per Game

Tenerife — total shots (home)—
Almeria — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Tenerife — on target (home)—
Almeria — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tenerife

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Almeria

Inside the box9.35
Outside the box5.89

Player Shots Tenerife

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Almeria

Sergio Arribas
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target37%
Adri Embarba
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target30%
Léo Baptistão
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Lopy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%
Nico Melamed
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tenerife xG (home)-
Almeria xG (away)1.86

Average Possession

-% Possession 52.17%

Team Comparison Tenerife vs Almeria

0% Pass accuracy 85.98%
- Passes per match 417.98
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 14.02
- Goalkeeper saves 3.59
- Offsides 1.77
- Tackles per match 14.93

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tenerife vs Almeria prediction and preview

Preview Tenerife vs Almeria with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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