Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Tenerife vs Almeria

Tenerife vs Almeria prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda División 2026-08-23 15:00
Tenerife
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Almeria
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
28%
2
29%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Tenerife (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Almeria (Away)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Almeria
LDWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 78%
0% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Tenerife averages 0 goals scored at home, while Almeria averages 1.3 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
28%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jun 2025 Tenerife(A) 0 - 2 Almeria Away
Aug 2024 Tenerife 0 - 1 Almeria Away
Mar 2022 Tenerife 0 - 1 Almeria Away
Sep 2021 Tenerife(A) 1 - 3 Almeria Away
May 2021 Tenerife 0 - 1 Almeria Away

In the last 5 meetings, Tenerife won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Almeria — winless run (away)4
Almeria — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tenerife Win (1)43%
Draw (X)28%
Almeria Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 78%
0% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 22%
100% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

Tenerife vs Almeria — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tenerife — scored (home)0
Tenerife — conceded (home)0
Almeria — scored (away)1.3
Almeria — conceded (away)1.48
Model expected combined goals2.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Tenerife — BTTS matches (home)0%
Almeria — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tenerife (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Almeria (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Almeria
4 8 12 6 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.544%
Under 2.556%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Tenerife (home)

For—

Almeria (away)

For2.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.73

Tenerife

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.37
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.55

Almeria

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.36
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.78

Shots per Game

Tenerife — total shots (home)—
Almeria — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Tenerife — on target (home)—
Almeria — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tenerife

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Almeria

Inside the box9.35
Outside the box5.89

Player Shots Tenerife

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Almeria

Sergio Arribas
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target37%
Adri Embarba
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target30%
Léo Baptistão
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Lopy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%
Nico Melamed
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tenerife xG (home)-
Almeria xG (away)1.86

Average Possession

-% Possession 52.17%

Team Comparison Tenerife vs Almeria

0% Pass accuracy 85.98%
- Passes per match 417.98
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 14.02
- Goalkeeper saves 3.59
- Offsides 1.77
- Tackles per match 14.93

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tenerife vs Almeria prediction analysis

Review Tenerife vs Almeria with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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