Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz

Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga de Expansión MX 2026-08-08 01:00
Tepatitlán
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
CA La Paz
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
25%
2
26%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Tepatitlán (Home)

Goals scored / match1.52
Goals conceded / match0.71
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate43%

CA La Paz (Away)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tepatitlán
LLWWD
CA La Paz
LLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 73%
48% +1.5 40%
19% +2.5 27%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
43% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Tepatitlán averages 1.52 goals scored at home, while CA La Paz averages 1.4 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
25%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Tepatitlán(A) 1 - 1 CA La Paz Draw
Nov 2025 Tepatitlán 0 - 1 CA La Paz Away
Mar 2025 Tepatitlán 4 - 1 CA La Paz Home
Oct 2024 Tepatitlán(A) 5 - 2 CA La Paz Home
Jan 2024 Tepatitlán(A) 0 - 2 CA La Paz Away

In the last 5 meetings, Tepatitlán won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Tepatitlán — unbeaten run (home)0
Tepatitlán — scoring streak (home)0
CA La Paz — winless run (away)7
CA La Paz — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tepatitlán Win (1)49%
Draw (X)25%
CA La Paz Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 73%
48% +1.5 40%
19% +2.5 27%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 27%
52% -1.5 60%
81% -2.5 73%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tepatitlán — scored (home)1.52
Tepatitlán — conceded (home)0.71
CA La Paz — scored (away)1.4
CA La Paz — conceded (away)1.6
Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Tepatitlán — BTTS matches (home)43%
CA La Paz — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)51.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tepatitlán (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

CA La Paz (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Tepatitlán (home)

For—

CA La Paz (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Tepatitlán — total shots (home)—
CA La Paz — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Tepatitlán — on target (home)—
CA La Paz — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tepatitlán

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

CA La Paz

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz prediction analysis

Review Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga de Expansión MX.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga de Expansión MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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