Prediction Analysis: Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Liga MX
2026-07-26
03:00
Tigres UANL
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Atletico San Luis
Away
Prediction Summary
1
58%
X
21%
2
21%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Tigres UANL (Home)
Goals scored / match2.29
Goals conceded / match0.76
Over 2.5 rate38%
BTTS rate48%
Atletico San Luis (Away)
Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
Tigres UANL
LLWWD
Atletico San Luis
LLWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
81%
+0.5
94%
48%
+1.5
41%
38%
+2.5
12%
29%
+3.5
6%
24%
+4.5
0%
48%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.
Tigres UANL averages 2.29 goals scored at home, while Atletico San Luis averages 1.53 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
58%
Draw
21%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Tigres UANL(A)
2 - 1
Atletico San Luis
Home
Nov 2025
Tigres UANL
3 - 1
Atletico San Luis
Home
Jan 2025
Tigres UANL(A)
3 - 1
Atletico San Luis
Home
Dec 2024
Tigres UANL
0 - 0
Atletico San Luis
Draw
Nov 2024
Tigres UANL(A)
0 - 3
Atletico San Luis
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Tigres UANL won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Tigres UANL — unbeaten run (home)5
Tigres UANL — scoring streak (home)3
Atletico San Luis — winless run (away)2
Atletico San Luis — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Tigres UANL Win (1)58%
Draw (X)21%
Atletico San Luis Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
81%
+0.5
94%
48%
+1.5
41%
38%
+2.5
12%
29%
+3.5
6%
24%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
19%
-0.5
6%
52%
-1.5
59%
62%
-2.5
88%
71%
-3.5
94%
76%
-4.5
100%
Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Tigres UANL — scored (home)2.29
Tigres UANL — conceded (home)0.76
Atletico San Luis — scored (away)1.53
Atletico San Luis — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals3.17
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
Tigres UANL — BTTS matches (home)48%
Atletico San Luis — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)59.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Tigres UANL (home)
Corners for5.7
Corners against3.3
Atletico San Luis (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against4.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Tigres UANL
9
7
8
14
5
Atletico San Luis
4
9
13
8
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Tigres UANL (home)
For2.2
Atletico San Luis (away)
For2.1
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.56
Tigres UANL
Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.559%
Expected shots15.41
On Target Over 3.574%
On Target Over 4.559%
On Target Over 5.544%
Expected on target5.39
Atletico San Luis
Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.16
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.77
Shots per Game
Tigres UANL — total shots (home)16.6
Atletico San Luis — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
Tigres UANL — on target (home)5.9
Atletico San Luis — on target (away)4.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Tigres UANL
Inside the box9.55
Outside the box5.48
Atletico San Luis
Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.71
Player Shots Tigres UANL
M. Farfan
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
Á. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target41%
J. Brunetta
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target26%
N. Ibáñez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%
O. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target17%
Player Shots Atletico San Luis
J. Galvão
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target38%
L. Flores
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Pérez Bouquet
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Klimowicz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Galdames
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target3%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Tigres UANL xG (home)1.48
Atletico San Luis xG (away)1.25
Average Possession
54.43%
Possession
47.26%
Team Comparison Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
83.34%
Pass accuracy
79.47%
452.86
Passes per match
374.26
-0.52
Goals prevented
-0.11
12.86
Fouls committed
11.91
2.86
Goalkeeper saves
3.21
1.53
Offsides
0.91
14.58
Tackles per match
13.14
League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis prediction analysis
Review Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights