Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG

Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga de Expansión MX 2026-07-25 22:00
Tlaxcala
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Tlaxcala
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Leones Negros UDG
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
23%
2
21%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Tlaxcala (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match1.27
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate60%

Leones Negros UDG (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tlaxcala
LDDLW
Leones Negros UDG
WLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 69%
47% +1.5 25%
13% +2.5 13%
7% +3.5 6%
7% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Tlaxcala averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Leones Negros UDG averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
23%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Tlaxcala 2 - 4 Leones Negros UDG Away
Feb 2026 Tlaxcala 5 - 2 Leones Negros UDG Home
Aug 2025 Tlaxcala(A) 2 - 2 Leones Negros UDG Draw
Feb 2025 Tlaxcala(A) 1 - 5 Leones Negros UDG Away
Aug 2024 Tlaxcala 1 - 2 Leones Negros UDG Away

In the last 5 meetings, Tlaxcala won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Tlaxcala — unbeaten run (home)0
Tlaxcala — scoring streak (home)8
Leones Negros UDG — winless run (away)0
Leones Negros UDG — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tlaxcala Win (1)56%
Draw (X)23%
Leones Negros UDG Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 69%
47% +1.5 25%
13% +2.5 13%
7% +3.5 6%
7% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 31%
53% -1.5 75%
87% -2.5 87%
93% -3.5 94%
93% -4.5 100%

Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tlaxcala — scored (home)1.6
Tlaxcala — conceded (home)1.27
Leones Negros UDG — scored (away)1.13
Leones Negros UDG — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Tlaxcala — BTTS matches (home)60%
Leones Negros UDG — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)61.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tlaxcala (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Leones Negros UDG (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Tlaxcala (home)

For—

Leones Negros UDG (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Tlaxcala — total shots (home)—
Leones Negros UDG — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Tlaxcala — on target (home)—
Leones Negros UDG — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tlaxcala

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Leones Negros UDG

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG prediction analysis

Review Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga de Expansión MX.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga de Expansión MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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