Prediction Analysis: Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG
Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Tlaxcala
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Tlaxcala
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Leones Negros UDG
Away
Prediction Summary
1
56%
X
23%
2
21%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Tlaxcala (Home)
Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match1.27
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate60%
Leones Negros UDG (Away)
Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Tlaxcala
LDDLW
Leones Negros UDG
WLLWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
87%
+0.5
69%
47%
+1.5
25%
13%
+2.5
13%
7%
+3.5
6%
7%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
Tlaxcala averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Leones Negros UDG averages 1.13 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
56%
Draw
23%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jul 2026
Tlaxcala
2 - 4
Leones Negros UDG
Away
Feb 2026
Tlaxcala
5 - 2
Leones Negros UDG
Home
Aug 2025
Tlaxcala(A)
2 - 2
Leones Negros UDG
Draw
Feb 2025
Tlaxcala(A)
1 - 5
Leones Negros UDG
Away
Aug 2024
Tlaxcala
1 - 2
Leones Negros UDG
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Tlaxcala won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Tlaxcala — unbeaten run (home)0
Tlaxcala — scoring streak (home)8
Leones Negros UDG — winless run (away)0
Leones Negros UDG — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Tlaxcala Win (1)56%
Draw (X)23%
Leones Negros UDG Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
87%
+0.5
69%
47%
+1.5
25%
13%
+2.5
13%
7%
+3.5
6%
7%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
13%
-0.5
31%
53%
-1.5
75%
87%
-2.5
87%
93%
-3.5
94%
93%
-4.5
100%
Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Tlaxcala — scored (home)1.6
Tlaxcala — conceded (home)1.27
Leones Negros UDG — scored (away)1.13
Leones Negros UDG — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.79
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
Tlaxcala — BTTS matches (home)60%
Leones Negros UDG — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)61.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Tlaxcala (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Leones Negros UDG (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Tlaxcala (home)
For—
Leones Negros UDG (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Tlaxcala — total shots (home)—
Leones Negros UDG — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Tlaxcala — on target (home)—
Leones Negros UDG — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Tlaxcala
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Leones Negros UDG
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG prediction analysis
Review Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga de Expansión MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga de Expansión MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights