What markets are included in the Tondela vs Famalicao prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Tondela vs Famalicao prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Tondela vs Famalicao

Tondela vs Famalicao prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-08-16 14:30

Tondela

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

31%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Famalicao

Away

Prediction Summary

30%

31%

39%

Under 2.5

69%

BTTS No

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Tondela (Home)

Goals scored / match0.76

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate35%

Famalicao (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tondela

LWWDL

Famalicao

WDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

41% +0.5 65%

29% +1.5 24%

6% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Tondela averages 0.76 goals scored at home, while Famalicao averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

30%

Draw

31%

Away Win

39%

Over 2.5

31%

BTTS Yes

38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Tondela(A) 0 - 3 Famalicao Away

Aug 2025 Tondela 0 - 1 Famalicao Away

Dec 2022 Tondela(A) 0 - 0 Famalicao Draw

Feb 2022 Tondela(A) 1 - 2 Famalicao Away

Sep 2021 Tondela 3 - 2 Famalicao Home

In the last 5 meetings, Tondela won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Tondela — unbeaten run (home)1

Tondela — scoring streak (home)1

Famalicao — winless run (away)1

Famalicao — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tondela Win (1)30%

Draw (X)31%

Famalicao Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

41% +0.5 65%

29% +1.5 24%

6% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

59% -0.5 35%

71% -1.5 76%

94% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Tondela vs Famalicao — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tondela — scored (home)0.76

Tondela — conceded (home)1.24

Famalicao — scored (away)0.88

Famalicao — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals1.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%

No62%

Rate per Team

Tondela — BTTS matches (home)35%

Famalicao — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tondela (home)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.9

Famalicao (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Tondela

15 10 9 9 11

Famalicao

7 13 10 13 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Tondela (home)

For2.4

Famalicao (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Tondela — total shots (home)12.1

Famalicao — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Tondela — on target (home)3.5

Famalicao — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tondela

Inside the box6.38

Outside the box4.21

Famalicao

Inside the box8.41

Outside the box4

Player Shots Tondela

Pedro Maranhão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target15%

Rony Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

Miro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Aïko

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Siebatcheu

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Famalicao

M. Zabiri

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Sorriso

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target15%

S. Elisor

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target15%

Gil Dias

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target3%

Gustavo Sá

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tondela xG (home)1.12

Famalicao xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

43.56% Possession 51.35%

Team Comparison Tondela vs Famalicao

78.29% Pass accuracy 81.65%

338.06 Passes per match 402.94

0.02 Goals prevented -0

14.47 Fouls committed 15.79

3.38 Goalkeeper saves 2.82

2.16 Offsides 1.15

17.56 Tackles per match 17.41

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tondela vs Famalicao prediction analysis

Review Tondela vs Famalicao with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights