What markets are included in the Tondela vs FC Porto prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Tondela vs FC Porto prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Tondela vs FC Porto

Tondela vs FC Porto prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-07 20:30

Tondela

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

High

Score

0-1

FC Porto

Away

Prediction Summary

19%

74%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

74%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Tondela (Home)

Goals scored / match0.76

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate35%

FC Porto (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match0.71

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tondela

LWWDL

FC Porto

WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

41% +0.5 100%

29% +1.5 65%

6% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is High.

Tondela averages 0.76 goals scored at home, while FC Porto averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

Draw

19%

Away Win

74%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

26%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Tondela(A) 0 - 2 FC Porto Away

Dec 2025 Tondela 0 - 2 FC Porto Away

May 2022 Tondela(A) 1 - 3 FC Porto Away

Mar 2022 Tondela(A) 0 - 4 FC Porto Away

Oct 2021 Tondela 1 - 3 FC Porto Away

In the last 5 meetings, Tondela won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Tondela — unbeaten run (home)1

Tondela — scoring streak (home)1

FC Porto — winless run (away)1

FC Porto — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tondela Win (1)6%

Draw (X)19%

FC Porto Win (2)74%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

41% +0.5 100%

29% +1.5 65%

6% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

59% -0.5 0%

71% -1.5 35%

94% -2.5 76%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Tondela vs FC Porto — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tondela — scored (home)0.76

Tondela — conceded (home)1.24

FC Porto — scored (away)1.94

FC Porto — conceded (away)0.71

Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes26%

No74%

Rate per Team

Tondela — BTTS matches (home)35%

FC Porto — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tondela (home)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.9

FC Porto (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against3.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Tondela

15 10 9 9 11

FC Porto

11 6 9 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.591%

Under 2.59%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Tondela (home)

For2.4

FC Porto (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Tondela — total shots (home)12.1

FC Porto — total shots (away)14.4

Shots on Target

Tondela — on target (home)3.5

FC Porto — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tondela

Inside the box6.38

Outside the box4.21

FC Porto

Inside the box9.5

Outside the box4.91

Player Shots Tondela

Pedro Maranhão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target15%

Rony Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

Miro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Aïko

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Siebatcheu

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots FC Porto

Samu

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target50%

William

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target21%

Borja Sainz

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target17%

O. Pietuszewski

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. de Jong

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tondela xG (home)1.12

FC Porto xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

43.56% Possession 55.12%

Team Comparison Tondela vs FC Porto

78.29% Pass accuracy 84.06%

338.06 Passes per match 449.71

0.02 Goals prevented -0.09

14.47 Fouls committed 13.88

3.38 Goalkeeper saves 1.85

2.16 Offsides 2.18

17.56 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tondela vs FC Porto prediction analysis

Review Tondela vs FC Porto with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights