What markets are included in the Tondela vs Sporting CP prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Tondela vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Tondela vs Sporting CP

Tondela vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-10-26 18:00

Tondela

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Sporting CP

Away

Prediction Summary

13%

24%

63%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

65%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Tondela (Home)

Goals scored / match0.76

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate35%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.24

Goals conceded / match0.76

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tondela

LWWDL

Sporting CP

WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

41% +0.5 100%

29% +1.5 65%

6% +2.5 35%

0% +3.5 24%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Tondela averages 0.76 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

13%

Draw

24%

Away Win

63%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

35%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Tondela(A) 2 - 2 Sporting CP Draw

Oct 2025 Tondela 0 - 3 Sporting CP Away

Jan 2024 Tondela(A) 0 - 4 Sporting CP Away

Dec 2023 Tondela 1 - 2 Sporting CP Away

Apr 2022 Tondela 1 - 3 Sporting CP Away

In the last 5 meetings, Tondela won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Tondela — unbeaten run (home)1

Tondela — scoring streak (home)1

Sporting CP — winless run (away)0

Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tondela Win (1)13%

Draw (X)24%

Sporting CP Win (2)63%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

41% +0.5 100%

29% +1.5 65%

6% +2.5 35%

0% +3.5 24%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

59% -0.5 0%

71% -1.5 35%

94% -2.5 65%

100% -3.5 76%

100% -4.5 100%

Tondela vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tondela — scored (home)0.76

Tondela — conceded (home)1.24

Sporting CP — scored (away)2.24

Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.76

Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%

No65%

Rate per Team

Tondela — BTTS matches (home)35%

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)71%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tondela (home)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.9

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for7.5

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Tondela

15 10 9 9 11

Sporting CP

9 10 8 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.591%

Under 2.59%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Tondela (home)

For2.4

Sporting CP (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Tondela — total shots (home)12.1

Sporting CP — total shots (away)16.1

Shots on Target

Tondela — on target (home)3.5

Sporting CP — on target (away)6.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tondela

Inside the box6.38

Outside the box4.21

Sporting CP

Inside the box11.82

Outside the box5.74

Player Shots Tondela

Pedro Maranhão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target15%

Rony Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

Miro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Aïko

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Siebatcheu

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Sporting CP

L. Suárez

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target91%

+1.5 On Target50%

Pote

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

C. Harder

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target25%

Geny Catamo

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target24%

Trincão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tondela xG (home)1.12

Sporting CP xG (away)2.13

Average Possession

43.56% Possession 61.85%

Team Comparison Tondela vs Sporting CP

78.29% Pass accuracy 87.56%

338.06 Passes per match 544.06

0.02 Goals prevented -0.21

14.47 Fouls committed 12.24

3.38 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

2.16 Offsides 1.62

17.56 Tackles per match 15.76

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tondela vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Tondela vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights