Prediction Analysis: Torino vs AC Milan
Torino vs AC Milan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-08-23
16:30
Torino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
AC Milan
Away
Prediction Summary
1
27%
X
26%
2
47%
+2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
51%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Torino (Home)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%
AC Milan (Away)
Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate42%
Team Form last 5 matches
Torino
DLWLD
AC Milan
LWLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
79%
47%
+1.5
47%
5%
+2.5
21%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
63%
BTTS
42%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.
Torino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while AC Milan averages 1.47 goals scored away.
Model Strength
52%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
27%
Draw
26%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Torino(A)
2 - 3
AC Milan
Away
Dec 2025
Torino
2 - 3
AC Milan
Away
Feb 2025
Torino
2 - 1
AC Milan
Home
Aug 2024
Torino(A)
2 - 2
AC Milan
Draw
May 2024
Torino
3 - 1
AC Milan
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Torino won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Torino — unbeaten run (home)6
Torino — scoring streak (home)8
AC Milan — winless run (away)0
AC Milan — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Torino Win (1)27%
Draw (X)26%
AC Milan Win (2)47%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
79%
47%
+1.5
47%
5%
+2.5
21%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
21%
53%
-1.5
53%
95%
-2.5
79%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Torino vs AC Milan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Torino — scored (home)1.42
Torino — conceded (home)1.53
AC Milan — scored (away)1.47
AC Milan — conceded (away)0.74
Model expected combined goals2.58
Both Teams To Score
Yes51%
No49%
Rate per Team
Torino — BTTS matches (home)63%
AC Milan — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)52.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Torino (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against4.6
AC Milan (away)
Corners for3.6
Corners against4.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Torino
10
7
12
6
12
AC Milan
4
5
4
8
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Torino (home)
For1.9
AC Milan (away)
For1.5
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.542%
Under 25.558%
Expected total shots24.65
Torino
Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.63
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target4.00
AC Milan
Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.02
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.527%
Expected on target4.23
Shots per Game
Torino — total shots (home)12.5
AC Milan — total shots (away)10.4
Shots on Target
Torino — on target (home)4.3
AC Milan — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Torino
Inside the box7.34
Outside the box4.47
AC Milan
Inside the box9.16
Outside the box4.08
Player Shots Torino
G. Simeone
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target16%
C. Ngonge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots AC Milan
C. Pulišić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rafael Leão
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target24%
S. Giménez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
Y. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Nkunku
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Torino xG (home)1.21
AC Milan xG (away)1.59
Average Possession
44.13%
Possession
51.84%
Team Comparison Torino vs AC Milan
79.45%
Pass accuracy
86.74%
375.24
Passes per match
483.74
-0.1
Goals prevented
0.2
13.95
Fouls committed
10.11
2.79
Goalkeeper saves
2.95
1.75
Offsides
1.92
16.05
Tackles per match
14.5
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Torino vs AC Milan prediction analysis
Review Torino vs AC Milan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights