Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Torino vs AS Roma

Torino vs AS Roma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-09-13 16:30
Torino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
AS Roma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
26%
2
41%
+2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Torino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

AS Roma (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Torino
DLWLD
AS Roma
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 79%
47% +1.5 47%
5% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Torino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while AS Roma averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
26%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Torino 0 - 2 AS Roma Away
Sep 2025 Torino(A) 1 - 0 AS Roma Home
May 2025 Torino 0 - 2 AS Roma Away
Oct 2024 Torino(A) 0 - 1 AS Roma Away
Feb 2024 Torino(A) 2 - 3 AS Roma Away

In the last 5 meetings, Torino won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Torino — unbeaten run (home)6
Torino — scoring streak (home)8
AS Roma — winless run (away)0
AS Roma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Torino Win (1)33%
Draw (X)26%
AS Roma Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 79%
47% +1.5 47%
5% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 21%
53% -1.5 53%
95% -2.5 89%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Torino vs AS Roma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Torino — scored (home)1.42
Torino — conceded (home)1.53
AS Roma — scored (away)1.37
AS Roma — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Torino — BTTS matches (home)63%
AS Roma — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Torino (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.6

AS Roma (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Torino
10 7 12 6 12
AS Roma
14 9 9 11 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Torino (home)

For1.9

AS Roma (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.42

Torino

Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.53
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.21

AS Roma

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.89
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.12

Shots per Game

Torino — total shots (home)12.5
AS Roma — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Torino — on target (home)4.3
AS Roma — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Torino

Inside the box7.34
Outside the box4.47

AS Roma

Inside the box9.74
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Torino

G. Simeone
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target16%
C. Ngonge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots AS Roma

D. Malen
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target89%
+1.5 On Target56%
E. Ferguson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Soulé
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%
L. Pellegrini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Torino xG (home)1.21
AS Roma xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

44.13% Possession 56.29%

Team Comparison Torino vs AS Roma

79.45% Pass accuracy 83.32%
375.24 Passes per match 487.97
-0.1 Goals prevented -0.02
13.95 Fouls committed 13.76
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 2.82
1.75 Offsides 1.68
16.05 Tackles per match 15.11

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Torino vs AS Roma prediction analysis

Review Torino vs AS Roma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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