Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Torino vs Atalanta

Torino vs Atalanta prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-08-25 16:30
Torino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Atalanta
Away

Prediction Summary

1
19%
X
25%
2
56%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Torino (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate42%

Atalanta (Away)

Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Torino
LLLDL
Atalanta
LWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 84%
26% +1.5 58%
0% +2.5 42%
0% +3.5 26%
0% +4.5 11%
42% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Torino averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Atalanta averages 2.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
19%
Draw
25%
Away Win
56%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Torino(A) 0 - 2 Atalanta Away
Sep 2025 Torino 0 - 3 Atalanta Away
Feb 2025 Torino(A) 1 - 1 Atalanta Draw
Aug 2024 Torino 2 - 1 Atalanta Home
May 2024 Torino(A) 0 - 3 Atalanta Away

In the last 5 meetings, Torino won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Torino — unbeaten run (home)0
Torino — scoring streak (home)0
Atalanta — winless run (away)0
Atalanta — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Torino Win (1)19%
Draw (X)25%
Atalanta Win (2)56%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 84%
26% +1.5 58%
0% +2.5 42%
0% +3.5 26%
0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 16%
74% -1.5 42%
100% -2.5 58%
100% -3.5 74%
100% -4.5 89%

Torino vs Atalanta — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Torino — scored (home)0.89
Torino — conceded (home)0.95
Atalanta — scored (away)2.21
Atalanta — conceded (away)0.68
Model expected combined goals2.37

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Torino — BTTS matches (home)42%
Atalanta — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.553%
Under 7.547%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.534%
Under 9.566%
Over 10.519%
Under 10.581%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Torino (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.0

Atalanta (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Torino
7 6 12 7 3
Atalanta
15 10 15 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Torino (home)

For1.7

Atalanta (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Torino — total shots (home)10.9
Atalanta — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Torino — on target (home)3.3
Atalanta — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Torino

Inside the box6.26
Outside the box3.89

Atalanta

Inside the box11.05
Outside the box3.29

Player Shots Torino

C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Elmas
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Vlašić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Atalanta

J. Cuadrado
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
A. Lookman
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target32%
M. Retegui
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target22%
S. Kolašinac
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
N. Zaniolo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Torino xG (home)0.93
Atalanta xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

47.45% Possession 55.32%

Team Comparison Torino vs Atalanta

81.16% Pass accuracy 84.53%
405.37 Passes per match 506.58
0.05 Goals prevented 0.11
12.71 Fouls committed 11.45
3.86 Goalkeeper saves 2.97
1.54 Offsides 1.54
12.32 Tackles per match 14.97

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Torino vs Atalanta prediction analysis

Review Torino vs Atalanta with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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