Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Torino vs Fiorentina

Torino vs Fiorentina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2024-11-03 14:00
Torino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Fiorentina
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
26%
2
48%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Torino (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate42%

Fiorentina (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Torino
LLLDL
Fiorentina
WWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 79%
26% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
42% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Torino averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Fiorentina averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
26%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Torino(A) 2 - 2 Fiorentina Draw
Aug 2025 Torino 0 - 0 Fiorentina Draw
Jan 2025 Torino(A) 1 - 1 Fiorentina Draw
Nov 2024 Torino 0 - 1 Fiorentina Away
Mar 2024 Torino 0 - 0 Fiorentina Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Torino won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Torino — unbeaten run (home)0
Torino — scoring streak (home)0
Fiorentina — winless run (away)0
Fiorentina — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Torino Win (1)26%
Draw (X)26%
Fiorentina Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 79%
26% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 21%
74% -1.5 58%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Torino vs Fiorentina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Torino — scored (home)0.89
Torino — conceded (home)0.95
Fiorentina — scored (away)1.47
Fiorentina — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Torino — BTTS matches (home)42%
Fiorentina — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.579%
Under 4.521%
Over 5.577%
Under 5.523%
Over 6.561%
Under 6.539%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Torino (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.0

Fiorentina (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Torino
7 6 12 7 3
Fiorentina
7 11 6 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Torino (home)

For1.7

Fiorentina (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Torino — total shots (home)10.9
Fiorentina — total shots (away)11.9

Shots on Target

Torino — on target (home)3.3
Fiorentina — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Torino

Inside the box6.26
Outside the box3.89

Fiorentina

Inside the box7.41
Outside the box4.38

Player Shots Torino

C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Elmas
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Vlašić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target38%
C. Biraghi
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Ranieri
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Mandragora
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Guðmundsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Torino xG (home)0.93
Fiorentina xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

47.45% Possession 51.11%

Team Comparison Torino vs Fiorentina

81.16% Pass accuracy 82.78%
405.37 Passes per match 427.43
0.05 Goals prevented 0.04
12.71 Fouls committed 11.59
3.86 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
1.54 Offsides 2.3
12.32 Tackles per match 13.95

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Torino vs Fiorentina prediction analysis

Review Torino vs Fiorentina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top