Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Torino vs Fiorentina

Torino vs Fiorentina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-31 16:30
Torino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Fiorentina
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
25%
2
33%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Torino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Fiorentina (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Torino
DLWLD
Fiorentina
DWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
47% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Torino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Fiorentina averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
25%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Torino(A) 2 - 2 Fiorentina Draw
Aug 2025 Torino 0 - 0 Fiorentina Draw
Jan 2025 Torino(A) 1 - 1 Fiorentina Draw
Nov 2024 Torino 0 - 1 Fiorentina Away
Mar 2024 Torino 0 - 0 Fiorentina Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Torino won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Torino — unbeaten run (home)6
Torino — scoring streak (home)8
Fiorentina — winless run (away)0
Fiorentina — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Torino Win (1)42%
Draw (X)25%
Fiorentina Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
47% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
53% -1.5 68%
95% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Torino vs Fiorentina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Torino — scored (home)1.42
Torino — conceded (home)1.53
Fiorentina — scored (away)1.05
Fiorentina — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Torino — BTTS matches (home)63%
Fiorentina — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.522%
Under 10.578%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Torino (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.6

Fiorentina (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Torino
10 7 12 6 12
Fiorentina
11 9 7 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Torino (home)

For1.9

Fiorentina (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Torino — total shots (home)12.5
Fiorentina — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Torino — on target (home)4.3
Fiorentina — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Torino

Inside the box7.34
Outside the box4.47

Fiorentina

Inside the box8.05
Outside the box4.82

Player Shots Torino

G. Simeone
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target16%
C. Ngonge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
R. Mandragora
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target3%
R. Piccoli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Guðmundsson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target9%
F. Parisi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Torino xG (home)1.21
Fiorentina xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

44.13% Possession 50.97%

Team Comparison Torino vs Fiorentina

79.45% Pass accuracy 83.89%
375.24 Passes per match 423.61
-0.1 Goals prevented 0.06
13.95 Fouls committed 12.5
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.34
1.75 Offsides 1.94
16.05 Tackles per match 12.26

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Torino vs Fiorentina prediction analysis

Review Torino vs Fiorentina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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