Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Toronto FC vs New England Revolution

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Major League Soccer 2026-08-15 23:30
Toronto FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
New England Revolution
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
27%
2
37%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Toronto FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

New England Revolution (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Toronto FC
LDDWL
New England Revolution
WDDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 76%
18% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 24%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Toronto FC averages 1 goals scored at home, while New England Revolution averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
27%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Toronto FC(A) 0 - 0 New England Revolution Draw
Sep 2025 Toronto FC(A) 1 - 1 New England Revolution Draw
May 2025 Toronto FC 0 - 2 New England Revolution Away
Apr 2024 Toronto FC 1 - 0 New England Revolution Home
Mar 2024 Toronto FC(A) 1 - 0 New England Revolution Home

In the last 5 meetings, Toronto FC won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Toronto FC — unbeaten run (home)7
Toronto FC — scoring streak (home)7
New England Revolution — winless run (away)3
New England Revolution — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Toronto FC Win (1)37%
Draw (X)27%
New England Revolution Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 76%
18% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 24%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 24%
82% -1.5 59%
88% -2.5 76%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Toronto FC — scored (home)1
Toronto FC — conceded (home)1.12
New England Revolution — scored (away)1.41
New England Revolution — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Toronto FC — BTTS matches (home)53%
New England Revolution — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Toronto FC (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against6.0

New England Revolution (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Toronto FC
9 10 12 15 12
New England Revolution
10 9 7 15 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Toronto FC (home)

For1.8

New England Revolution (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.50

Toronto FC

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.64
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.03

New England Revolution

Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.86
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.47

Shots per Game

Toronto FC — total shots (home)10.8
New England Revolution — total shots (away)12.0

Shots on Target

Toronto FC — on target (home)3.6
New England Revolution — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Toronto FC

Inside the box6.38
Outside the box3.56

New England Revolution

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Toronto FC

F. Bernardeschi
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
D. Mihailović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Corbeanu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target21%
L. Insigne
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Longstaff
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots New England Revolution

Carles Gil
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Urruti
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target10%
L. Campana
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
L. Díaz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Chancalay
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Toronto FC xG (home)0.95
New England Revolution xG (away)1.28

Average Possession

45.91% Possession 49.62%

Team Comparison Toronto FC vs New England Revolution

83.13% Pass accuracy 83.81%
407.47 Passes per match 450.32
0.01 Goals prevented -0.04
11.56 Fouls committed 12
3.44 Goalkeeper saves 3.15
1.45 Offsides 2.16
17.36 Tackles per match 15.74

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution prediction analysis

Review Toronto FC vs New England Revolution with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top