Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Tottenham vs AS Roma

Tottenham vs AS Roma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-11-28 20:00
Tottenham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
AS Roma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
63%
X
22%
2
14%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Tottenham (Home)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match0.63
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate50%

AS Roma (Away)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tottenham
WWWWD
AS Roma
LWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
63% +1.5 17%
50% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Tottenham averages 2.13 goals scored at home, while AS Roma averages 0.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
63%
Draw
22%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Tottenham 2 - 2 AS Roma Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Tottenham won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Tottenham — unbeaten run (home)8
Tottenham — scoring streak (home)8
AS Roma — winless run (away)6
AS Roma — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tottenham Win (1)63%
Draw (X)22%
AS Roma Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
63% +1.5 17%
50% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
37% -1.5 83%
50% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Tottenham vs AS Roma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tottenham — scored (home)2.13
Tottenham — conceded (home)0.63
AS Roma — scored (away)0.83
AS Roma — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Tottenham — BTTS matches (home)50%
AS Roma — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.586%
Under 7.514%
Over 8.578%
Under 8.522%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tottenham (home)

Corners for7.1
Corners against3.8

AS Roma (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Tottenham
12 15 14 11 9
AS Roma
7 10 7 4 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Tottenham (home)

For1.1

AS Roma (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Tottenham — total shots (home)15.6
AS Roma — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Tottenham — on target (home)6.4
AS Roma — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tottenham

Inside the box9.4
Outside the box3.53

AS Roma

Inside the box10.58
Outside the box4.83

Player Shots Tottenham

W. Lankshear
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Moore
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
W. Odobert
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Sarr
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Johnson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots AS Roma

S. El Shaarawy
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
Saud Abdulhamid
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Ndicka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Pellegrini
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tottenham xG (home)1.66
AS Roma xG (away)1.65

Average Possession

50.93% Possession 54.75%

Team Comparison Tottenham vs AS Roma

83.07% Pass accuracy 84.92%
466.53 Passes per match 527
0.33 Goals prevented 0.05
10.67 Fouls committed 10
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 2.33
1.4 Offsides 2.92
15.33 Tackles per match 16.75

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tottenham vs AS Roma prediction analysis

Review Tottenham vs AS Roma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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