What markets are included in the Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar

Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-10-24 19:00

Tottenham

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

AZ Alkmaar

Away

Prediction Summary

66%

19%

15%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Tottenham (Home)

Goals scored / match2.13

Goals conceded / match0.63

Over 2.5 rate50%

BTTS rate50%

AZ Alkmaar (Away)

Goals scored / match1.33

Goals conceded / match2.33

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tottenham

WWWWD

AZ Alkmaar

LWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%

63% +1.5 50%

50% +2.5 17%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Tottenham averages 2.13 goals scored at home, while AZ Alkmaar averages 1.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

66%

Draw

19%

Away Win

15%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 3

Mar 2025 Tottenham 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar Home

Mar 2025 Tottenham(A) 0 - 1 AZ Alkmaar Away

Oct 2024 Tottenham 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar Home

In the last 3 meetings, Tottenham won 2, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Tottenham — unbeaten run (home)8

Tottenham — scoring streak (home)8

AZ Alkmaar — winless run (away)6

AZ Alkmaar — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tottenham Win (1)66%

Draw (X)19%

AZ Alkmaar Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%

63% +1.5 50%

50% +2.5 17%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%

37% -1.5 50%

50% -2.5 83%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tottenham — scored (home)2.13

Tottenham — conceded (home)0.63

AZ Alkmaar — scored (away)1.33

AZ Alkmaar — conceded (away)2.33

Model expected combined goals3.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Tottenham — BTTS matches (home)50%

AZ Alkmaar — BTTS matches (away)67%

Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.578%

Under 7.522%

Over 8.578%

Under 8.522%

Over 9.571%

Under 9.529%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tottenham (home)

Corners for7.1

Corners against3.8

AZ Alkmaar (away)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Tottenham

12 15 14 11 9

AZ Alkmaar

10 8 13 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.571%

Under 1.529%

Over 2.565%

Under 2.535%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Tottenham (home)

For1.1

AZ Alkmaar (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Tottenham — total shots (home)15.6

AZ Alkmaar — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

Tottenham — on target (home)6.4

AZ Alkmaar — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tottenham

Inside the box9.4

Outside the box3.53

AZ Alkmaar

Inside the box8.08

Outside the box4.75

Player Shots Tottenham

W. Lankshear

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

M. Moore

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

W. Odobert

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

P. Sarr

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Johnson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots AZ Alkmaar

R. van Bommel

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

K. Belić

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Mijnans

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target20%

E. Poku

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target30%

D. Kasius

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tottenham xG (home)1.66

AZ Alkmaar xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

50.93% Possession 46.42%

Team Comparison Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar

83.07% Pass accuracy 79.42%

466.53 Passes per match 424.67

0.33 Goals prevented -0.3

10.67 Fouls committed 14.67

3.13 Goalkeeper saves 2.67

1.4 Offsides 2.17

15.33 Tackles per match 18.08

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar prediction analysis

Review Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights