Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Tottenham vs Brighton

Tottenham vs Brighton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-05-25 15:00
Tottenham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
69%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Brighton
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
22%
2
37%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Tottenham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate74%

Brighton (Away)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tottenham
LLLDL
Brighton
WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 95%
47% +1.5 63%
37% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

Tottenham averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Brighton averages 1.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
22%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Tottenham 2 - 2 Brighton Draw
Sep 2025 Tottenham(A) 2 - 2 Brighton Draw
May 2025 Tottenham 1 - 4 Brighton Away
Oct 2024 Tottenham(A) 2 - 3 Brighton Away
Feb 2024 Tottenham 2 - 1 Brighton Home

In the last 5 meetings, Tottenham won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Tottenham — unbeaten run (home)0
Tottenham — scoring streak (home)1
Brighton — winless run (away)0
Brighton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tottenham Win (1)41%
Draw (X)22%
Brighton Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 95%
47% +1.5 63%
37% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 5%
53% -1.5 37%
63% -2.5 79%
84% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 100%

Tottenham vs Brighton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tottenham — scored (home)1.84
Tottenham — conceded (home)1.84
Brighton — scored (away)1.89
Brighton — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals3.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%
No31%

Rate per Team

Tottenham — BTTS matches (home)74%
Brighton — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.584%
Under 8.516%
Over 9.576%
Under 9.524%
Over 10.558%
Under 10.542%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tottenham (home)

Corners for7.2
Corners against5.6

Brighton (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Tottenham
10 4 12 10 13
Brighton
9 5 11 6 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Tottenham (home)

For1.7

Brighton (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Tottenham — total shots (home)14.2
Brighton — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

Tottenham — on target (home)5.3
Brighton — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tottenham

Inside the box9.39
Outside the box3.68

Brighton

Inside the box9.26
Outside the box4.76

Player Shots Tottenham

D. Solanke
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target30%
Richarlison
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Maddison
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
Son Heung-Min
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Werner
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Brighton

D. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Enciso
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Estupiñán
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Y. Minteh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Mitoma
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tottenham xG (home)1.57
Brighton xG (away)1.56

Average Possession

54.82% Possession 52.55%

Team Comparison Tottenham vs Brighton

84.42% Pass accuracy 84.32%
479.5 Passes per match 465.89
-0.19 Goals prevented -0.01
11.74 Fouls committed 11.53
3.24 Goalkeeper saves 2.54
1.75 Offsides 1.21
17.42 Tackles per match 18.55

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tottenham vs Brighton prediction analysis

Review Tottenham vs Brighton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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