What markets are included in the Tottenham vs Chelsea prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Tottenham vs Chelsea prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Tottenham vs Chelsea

Tottenham vs Chelsea prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2024-12-08 16:30

Tottenham

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

69%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Chelsea

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

22%

42%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

69%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Tottenham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match1.84

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate74%

Chelsea (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tottenham

LLLDL

Chelsea

WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 68%

47% +1.5 32%

37% +2.5 21%

16% +3.5 16%

0% +4.5 11%

74% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

Tottenham averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Chelsea averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

22%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

69%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Tottenham(A) 1 - 2 Chelsea Away

Nov 2025 Tottenham 0 - 1 Chelsea Away

Apr 2025 Tottenham(A) 0 - 1 Chelsea Away

Dec 2024 Tottenham 3 - 4 Chelsea Away

May 2024 Tottenham(A) 0 - 2 Chelsea Away

In the last 5 meetings, Tottenham won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Tottenham — unbeaten run (home)0

Tottenham — scoring streak (home)1

Chelsea — winless run (away)0

Chelsea — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tottenham Win (1)36%

Draw (X)22%

Chelsea Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 68%

47% +1.5 32%

37% +2.5 21%

16% +3.5 16%

0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 32%

53% -1.5 68%

63% -2.5 79%

84% -3.5 84%

100% -4.5 89%

Tottenham vs Chelsea — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tottenham — scored (home)1.84

Tottenham — conceded (home)1.84

Chelsea — scored (away)1.53

Chelsea — conceded (away)1.32

Model expected combined goals3.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%

No31%

Rate per Team

Tottenham — BTTS matches (home)74%

Chelsea — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.584%

Under 8.516%

Over 9.571%

Under 9.529%

Over 10.558%

Under 10.542%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tottenham (home)

Corners for7.2

Corners against5.6

Chelsea (away)

Corners for5.8

Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Tottenham

10 4 12 10 13

Chelsea

12 9 10 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Tottenham (home)

For1.7

Chelsea (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Tottenham — total shots (home)14.2

Chelsea — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Tottenham — on target (home)5.3

Chelsea — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tottenham

Inside the box9.39

Outside the box3.68

Chelsea

Inside the box10.37

Outside the box5.29

Player Shots Tottenham

D. Solanke

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target30%

Richarlison

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

J. Maddison

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Son Heung-Min

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target20%

T. Werner

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Chelsea

N. Madueke

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

C. Palmer

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target81%

+1.5 On Target30%

N. Jackson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target33%

T. Chalobah

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target8%

Pedro Neto

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tottenham xG (home)1.57

Chelsea xG (away)1.82

Average Possession

54.82% Possession 57.18%

Team Comparison Tottenham vs Chelsea

84.42% Pass accuracy 86.29%

479.5 Passes per match 520.5

-0.19 Goals prevented 0.11

11.74 Fouls committed 11.47

3.24 Goalkeeper saves 3.03

1.75 Offsides 1.76

17.42 Tackles per match 15.39

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tottenham vs Chelsea prediction analysis

Review Tottenham vs Chelsea with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights