What markets are included in the Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Tottenham vs Newcastle

Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2026-08-29 16:30

Tottenham

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

BTTS Yes

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Newcastle

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

27%

37%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Tottenham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate68%

Newcastle (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tottenham

WLDWW

Newcastle

LWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 58%

26% +1.5 16%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Tottenham averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Newcastle averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

27%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Tottenham 1 - 2 Newcastle Away

Dec 2025 Tottenham(A) 2 - 2 Newcastle Draw

Oct 2025 Tottenham(A) 0 - 2 Newcastle Away

Jan 2025 Tottenham 1 - 2 Newcastle Away

Sep 2024 Tottenham(A) 1 - 2 Newcastle Away

In the last 5 meetings, Tottenham won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Tottenham — unbeaten run (home)3

Tottenham — scoring streak (home)3

Newcastle — winless run (away)4

Newcastle — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Tottenham Win (1)36%

Draw (X)27%

Newcastle Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 58%

26% +1.5 16%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 42%

74% -1.5 84%

95% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Tottenham vs Newcastle — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tottenham — scored (home)1.16

Tottenham — conceded (home)1.63

Newcastle — scored (away)0.89

Newcastle — conceded (away)1.32

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Tottenham — BTTS matches (home)68%

Newcastle — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tottenham (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against5.3

Newcastle (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Tottenham

10 10 16 7 14

Newcastle

9 12 3 10 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Tottenham (home)

For3.1

Newcastle (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%

Under 19.527%

Over 22.560%

Under 22.540%

Over 25.546%

Under 25.554%

Expected total shots25.52

Tottenham

Shots Over 9.577%

Shots Over 11.562%

Shots Over 13.547%

Expected shots13.70

On Target Over 3.566%

On Target Over 4.549%

On Target Over 5.533%

Expected on target4.69

Newcastle

Shots Over 9.565%

Shots Over 11.548%

Shots Over 13.533%

Expected shots11.82

On Target Over 3.558%

On Target Over 4.540%

On Target Over 5.526%

Expected on target4.17

Shots per Game

Tottenham — total shots (home)12.7

Newcastle — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Tottenham — on target (home)3.8

Newcastle — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tottenham

Inside the box7.92

Outside the box3.55

Newcastle

Inside the box8.29

Outside the box4.66

Player Shots Tottenham

Richarlison

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target19%

D. Solanke

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target27%

B. Davies

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

M. Kudus

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target11%

X. Simons

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Newcastle

Bruno Guimarães

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Gordon

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

H. Barnes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target11%

W. Osula

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Joelinton

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tottenham xG (home)1.07

Newcastle xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

50.37% Possession 52.61%

Team Comparison Tottenham vs Newcastle

81.13% Pass accuracy 82.11%

413.37 Passes per match 449.63

-0.03 Goals prevented 0.04

12.13 Fouls committed 9.82

2.45 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.63 Offsides 1.48

19.45 Tackles per match 14.47

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction analysis

Review Tottenham vs Newcastle with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights