Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Tottenham vs Qarabag

Tottenham vs Qarabag prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-09-26 19:00
Tottenham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Qarabag
Away

Prediction Summary

1
73%
X
18%
2
9%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Tottenham (Home)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match0.63
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate50%

Qarabag (Away)

Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate25%

Team Form last 5 matches

Tottenham
WWWWD
Qarabag
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 25%
63% +1.5 25%
50% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 25%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is High.

Tottenham averages 2.13 goals scored at home, while Qarabag averages 0.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
73%
Draw
18%
Away Win
9%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2024 Tottenham 3 - 0 Qarabag Home

In the last 1 meetings, Tottenham won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Tottenham — unbeaten run (home)8
Tottenham — scoring streak (home)8
Qarabag — winless run (away)2
Qarabag — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Tottenham Win (1)73%
Draw (X)18%
Qarabag Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 25%
63% +1.5 25%
50% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 75%
37% -1.5 75%
50% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Tottenham vs Qarabag — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Tottenham — scored (home)2.13
Tottenham — conceded (home)0.63
Qarabag — scored (away)0.5
Qarabag — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Tottenham — BTTS matches (home)50%
Qarabag — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.582%
Under 8.518%
Over 9.575%
Under 9.525%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Tottenham (home)

Corners for7.1
Corners against3.8

Qarabag (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Tottenham
12 15 14 11 9
Qarabag
13 8 6 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Tottenham (home)

For1.1

Qarabag (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Tottenham — total shots (home)15.6
Qarabag — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Tottenham — on target (home)6.4
Qarabag — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Tottenham

Inside the box9.4
Outside the box3.53

Qarabag

Inside the box6.13
Outside the box4

Player Shots Tottenham

W. Lankshear
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Moore
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
W. Odobert
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Sarr
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Johnson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Qarabag

Juninho
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Zoubir
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Bayramov
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Cəfərquliyev
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Benzia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tottenham xG (home)1.66
Qarabag xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

50.93% Possession 55.25%

Team Comparison Tottenham vs Qarabag

83.07% Pass accuracy 82.5%
466.53 Passes per match 475.25
0.33 Goals prevented 0.07
10.67 Fouls committed 9.88
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 4.13
1.4 Offsides 1.88
15.33 Tackles per match 23.25

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Tottenham vs Qarabag prediction analysis

Review Tottenham vs Qarabag with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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