Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Toulouse vs Angers

Toulouse vs Angers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-23 16:15
Toulouse
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Angers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
21%
2
20%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Toulouse (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate41%

Angers (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Toulouse
WWDLL
Angers
DDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 59%
47% +1.5 6%
18% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Toulouse averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Angers averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
21%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Toulouse(A) 0 - 1 Angers Away
Jan 2026 Toulouse(A) 1 - 1 Angers Draw
Nov 2025 Toulouse 0 - 1 Angers Away
Mar 2025 Toulouse(A) 4 - 0 Angers Home
Oct 2024 Toulouse 1 - 1 Angers Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Toulouse won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Toulouse — unbeaten run (home)2
Toulouse — scoring streak (home)2
Angers — winless run (away)4
Angers — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Toulouse Win (1)59%
Draw (X)21%
Angers Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 59%
47% +1.5 6%
18% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 41%
53% -1.5 94%
82% -2.5 100%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Toulouse vs Angers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Toulouse — scored (home)1.47
Toulouse — conceded (home)1.41
Angers — scored (away)0.65
Angers — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Toulouse — BTTS matches (home)41%
Angers — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.568%
Under 6.532%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Toulouse (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.4

Angers (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Toulouse
6 15 6 11 15
Angers
7 9 10 2 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Toulouse (home)

For1.9

Angers (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Toulouse — total shots (home)14.7
Angers — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Toulouse — on target (home)4.8
Angers — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Toulouse

Inside the box8.36
Outside the box4.48

Angers

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44

Player Shots Toulouse

P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
F. Magri
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%
Emersonn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target11%
Julián Vignolo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
Y. Gboho
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Angers

G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse xG (home)1.31
Angers xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

42.24% Possession 41.82%

Team Comparison Toulouse vs Angers

80.55% Pass accuracy 81.97%
374 Passes per match 398.09
0.07 Goals prevented -0.01
14.36 Fouls committed 11.09
2.58 Goalkeeper saves 4.03
1.33 Offsides 1.79
16.36 Tackles per match 18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Toulouse vs Angers prediction analysis

Review Toulouse vs Angers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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