What markets are included in the Toulouse vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Toulouse vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Toulouse vs Lille

Toulouse vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2025-04-12 17:00

Toulouse

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

33%

28%

40%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Toulouse (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate71%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.24

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Toulouse

WDWDL

Lille

WLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 71%

29% +1.5 47%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Toulouse averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Toulouse 0 - 4 Lille Away

Sep 2025 Toulouse(A) 1 - 2 Lille Away

Apr 2025 Toulouse 1 - 2 Lille Away

Oct 2024 Toulouse(A) 1 - 2 Lille Away

Feb 2024 Toulouse 3 - 1 Lille Home

In the last 5 meetings, Toulouse won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Toulouse — unbeaten run (home)2

Toulouse — scoring streak (home)5

Lille — winless run (away)1

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Toulouse Win (1)33%

Draw (X)28%

Lille Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 71%

29% +1.5 47%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 29%

71% -1.5 53%

100% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Toulouse vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Toulouse — scored (home)1.18

Toulouse — conceded (home)1.29

Lille — scored (away)1.24

Lille — conceded (away)1.06

Model expected combined goals2.36

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Toulouse — BTTS matches (home)71%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Toulouse (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.2

Lille (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Toulouse

9 8 11 3 13

Lille

12 9 7 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Toulouse (home)

For1.6

Lille (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Toulouse — total shots (home)12.3

Lille — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Toulouse — on target (home)4.8

Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Toulouse

Inside the box8.88

Outside the box2.97

Lille

Inside the box9.03

Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Toulouse

W. Kamanzi

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Suazo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Z. Aboukhlal

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target23%

N. Edjouma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Y. Gboho

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Lille

Tiago Santos

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target29%

J. David

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target31%

C. Akpom

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

O. Sahraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target7%

André Gomes

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse xG (home)1.46

Lille xG (away)1.64

Average Possession

44.74% Possession 57.94%

Team Comparison Toulouse vs Lille

80.18% Pass accuracy 86.21%

396.94 Passes per match 541.15

-0.09 Goals prevented 0.26

12.97 Fouls committed 12.06

2 Goalkeeper saves 2.82

1.77 Offsides 1.5

17.82 Tackles per match 18.41

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Toulouse vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Toulouse vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights